Friday 7:50pm at Simonds Stadium
Clashes don’t come much bigger than this with third-placed Geelong hosting top-of-the-table Adelaide in a compelling affair.
Form
Geelong opened the season with five straight wins and appeared to be destined for another premiership tilt but dropped three straight before a much-needed 23-point win over the Western Bulldogs followed by a two-point win at home over Port. The Cats sit third on the ladder thanks to an attack that rates third while their defence ranks 11th.
Geelong opened the season with five straight wins and appeared to be destined for another premiership tilt but dropped three straight before a much-needed 23-point win over the Western Bulldogs followed by a two-point win at home over Port. The Cats sit third on the ladder thanks to an attack that rates third while their defence ranks 11th.
Adelaide sit first on the ladder with an 8-2 record based on a stunning attack that is top averaging 124.1 points per game. Their defence ranks fourth conceding just 85.6 points an outing. The Crows bounced back from a surprising two-game losing streak with two dominant wins over Brisbane and Fremantle where they posted 140-plus in each.
Stats That Matter
– Geelong have won four straight, covering each of them, and 12 of the last 15 against Adelaide dating back to 2007.
– Adelaide’s last win at Simonds Stadium was in 2003.
– Geelong have covered 10 of the last 13 at Simonds Stadium.
– Geelong have won 21 of 22 at Simonds Stadium after conceding 85 or fewer the start prior (12-10 ATS).
– The Cats have won outright their last two at Simonds Stadium as an outsider while they have covered 5 of their last 7 as an underdog in Victoria.
– Adelaide have covered 21 of their last 33 as an interstate favourite.
– The over has hit in 23 of the last 33 Adelaide interstate favourite games.
– Interstate favourites off a win of 40 or more cover at 59% since 2012.
– Adelaide are 14-6 ATS after scoring 140 points with a 13-3 over record.
– Adelaide’s last win at Simonds Stadium was in 2003.
– Geelong have covered 10 of the last 13 at Simonds Stadium.
– Geelong have won 21 of 22 at Simonds Stadium after conceding 85 or fewer the start prior (12-10 ATS).
– The Cats have won outright their last two at Simonds Stadium as an outsider while they have covered 5 of their last 7 as an underdog in Victoria.
– Adelaide have covered 21 of their last 33 as an interstate favourite.
– The over has hit in 23 of the last 33 Adelaide interstate favourite games.
– Interstate favourites off a win of 40 or more cover at 59% since 2012.
– Adelaide are 14-6 ATS after scoring 140 points with a 13-3 over record.
Betting Data
2017 Line: Geelong 5-5, Adelaide 8-2
2017 Over-Under: Geelong 7-3, Adelaide 6-4
2017 Line: Geelong 5-5, Adelaide 8-2
2017 Over-Under: Geelong 7-3, Adelaide 6-4
What To Expect
It is hard to go past the Crows in this one. They possess one of the most high-powered attacks in AFL history and are annihilating teams with their incredible scoring. They have an incredible record as an interstate favourite and they hold their form after posting a big score. Geelong were unconvincing against Port and are there to be beat.
It is hard to go past the Crows in this one. They possess one of the most high-powered attacks in AFL history and are annihilating teams with their incredible scoring. They have an incredible record as an interstate favourite and they hold their form after posting a big score. Geelong were unconvincing against Port and are there to be beat.
How It’s Shaping Up
Adelaide by 12
Adelaide by 12
Recommended Bet
Adelaide -4.5 ($1.91)
Adelaide -4.5 ($1.91)
Player Markets
Rory Sloane has posted six scores over 130 this year, including three over 150. In Adelaide wins he has averaged 132.5. He will be getting 120.
Rory Sloane has posted six scores over 130 this year, including three over 150. In Adelaide wins he has averaged 132.5. He will be getting 120.
Recommended Bet
Rory Sloane 120+ Fantasy Points ($1.75)
Rory Sloane 120+ Fantasy Points ($1.75)
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