Port Adelaide v Hawthorn
Thursday 7:20pm at Adelaide Oval

Gutted by a close loss to Geelong last Thursday, Port will be looking to lay the hammer down on a beleaguered Hawthorn.
Port Adelaide followed their bye with a gutsy but ultimately fruitless performance against Geelong, going down in a heartbreaker. They have won three of their last four and have posted 110 points or more in five of nine games this season. The Power are averaging 109 points per game and have conceded 82 or fewer on six occasions in 2017 including four of their last five.
Hawthorn are up to 14th on the ladder following their monumental upset of Sydney last Friday. The Hawks pulled off a miraculous one-goal win over the Swans. Hawthorn have now won three of their last four and have not conceded more than 91 in their last four. The Hawks continue to rank bottom four in both attack and defence.
Stats That Matter
– Port have won 3 of 5 against Hawthorn since 2014, covering 4 of those 5 games.
– Since 2012, the Power have a head-to-head POT of 112% against the Hawks.
– Port are 18-14 ATS at Adelaide Oval as a favourite with an 18-14 under record.
– Port are 8-3 ATS as a favourite of 5 or more goals at Adelaide Oval.
– The Power are 2-6 ATS as a favourite at Adelaide Oval after scoring 80 or fewer points.
– The Hawks have covered just 3 of their last 11 interstate games.
– The under has hit in seven straight Hawks interstate games.
– The under is 5-1 in Hawks interstate games when they are an outsider.
– Interstate outsiders of 30 or more off a win cover at just 38%.
– Port are 27-11 ATS in night matches since 2012.
Betting Data
2017 Line: Port Adelaide 6-3, Hawthorn 3-7
2017 Over-Under: Port Adelaide 5-4, Hawthorn 2-8
What To Expect
Hawthorn pulled off a miraculous win last week but it is hard to see them doing it again against a Port team that really is a title contender. The Power are very good as a big home favourite and have a ridiculous cover rate of over 70% at night. Given Hawthorn’s recent interstate woes, the smart bet is the minus.
How It’s Shaping Up
Port Adelaide by 56
Recommended Bet
Port Adelaide -42.5 ($1.91)
Player Markets
Brad Ebert has been a ball-magnet of late for Port with 30-plus disposals in three of his last five games. A big power win should be good for Ebert’s disposals.
Recommended Bet
Brad Ebert 30+ Disposals ($2.00) 

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