- Melbourne are 5-6 ATS with a 7-4 under record while Newcastle are also 5-6 ATS with a 6-5 under record.
- Newcastle have a surprisingly good recent record against Melbourne with the last six matches being split evenly.
- The Storm won both matches last year but both by only just four points apiece.
- The Storm have not beaten the Knights by more than 13 since 2011.
- Six of the last eight games have failed to break 34 points.
- The Storm are 8-12 ATS with a 14-6 under record when favoured at home by more than 8 points.
- The Storm have failed to cover their last three at home being favoured by more than two converted tries.
- Melbourne have gone under in 16 of their last 17 at home after conceding fewer than 14 points.
Final Thoughts
The Wolf is expecting the Storm to get the win here, but the -16 line could be too big to cover for a side that has been missing two crucial members of their spine (Cronk and Smith) at training throughout the lead-up to Origin 1. The Wolf is also keen on the unders for this same reason. The Storm will most likely be disjointed at different stages of the match, while the Knights have showed some fight in their recent matches. Unders and the Knights with the big start is the way The Wolf is playing this one.
The Wolf is expecting the Storm to get the win here, but the -16 line could be too big to cover for a side that has been missing two crucial members of their spine (Cronk and Smith) at training throughout the lead-up to Origin 1. The Wolf is also keen on the unders for this same reason. The Storm will most likely be disjointed at different stages of the match, while the Knights have showed some fight in their recent matches. Unders and the Knights with the big start is the way The Wolf is playing this one.
How It’s Shaping Up
Melbourne by 8
Melbourne by 8
Best Bet
Under 43.5 ($1.88)
Under 43.5 ($1.88)
Other Recommended Bets
Newcastle +16 ($1.91)
Newcastle +16 ($1.91)
0 nhận xét Blogger 0 Facebook
Post a Comment