Walsall 2.68 v Shrewsbury Town 2.84, the draw 3.45

Shrewsbury stretched their remarkable unbeaten run to 11 League One matches last weekend; with a 2-0 win against Scunthorpe United, thus maintaining their four point cushion at the top of the table. It was also the first time that the Shrews won by more than one goal this term - which was a blow for the column, following the Under 1.5 bet, as Town got their second on 87 minutes.

I cannot grumble, as they've done the column a favour on a couple of occasions this term, and there's no reason to deviate from that again for Saturday. Looking at their attractive price of 2.84, it's as if the market doesn't quite believe the start they have enjoyed - which is the best in their history.

Maybe the home form of Walsall is clouding the issue here. They are unbeaten at the Banks's so far this term, and have scored 10 in five matches. In fact, all five of those games have been entertaining affairs with scores of 2-1, 3-3, 2-1, 1-1 and 2-2. This should alert us to the Over 2.5 Goals, and also the Both Teams To Score.

Historically, the Saddlers have a fine record against Shrewsbury, and they've won 10 of the last 12 meetings between the two. However, this start by Paul Hurst's side is something else, as they just keep going with the results.

They are excellent away too; with four victories from five (which includes three 2-1 scorelines). Hurst has been clever in making changes too, with four players brought back into last Saturday's team.

The hosts obviously know how to score at home, but they also concede. Their manager Jon Whitney has said he wants them to "to win ugly", which is something the Shrews are quite capable of doing.

Recommended Bet 
Back Shrewsbury Town Draw No Bet 0.5pt @ 2.00

MK Dons 2.80 v Bradford City 2.74, the draw 3.40

The market has this priced up as though there is nothing between the two teams - I'd differ, although my record in backing and tipping Bradford is hardly inspired. Hopefully that will change.

I went with the Bantams at home a fortnight ago against Fleetwood. I thought that Bradford would expose the Cod Army's awful record at set-pieces. I was wrong - and a 0-3 reversal sums up the league at times. Never be put off by backing the outsider. I'm still annoyed with that bet.

Stuart McCall's side are better than that. They sit third in the table after all, and are unbeaten away from home with three wins and three draws. September was a superb month for McCall's men; gaining five wins from seven, with 16 points in the process.

Opta stats are with the visitors here too; as Bradford have won each of their last three league away games at Stadium MK.

With a 2-0 victory over Doncaster last Saturday, the Bantams bounced back after the shocker against Fleetwood. They didn't play particularly well, but their outlet Charlie Wyke scored again - from a header. That's now 12 headed goals in the league since the start of last season; two more than any other player in England's top four tiers according to the Opta team.

If City get their delivery right, they can do some damage here. And delivery is often their strong suit.

The MK Dons are unbeaten in four at home heading into this game, but with the Draw No Bet option on the visitors, they can add to their tally of away day wins.

Recommended Bet 
Back Bradford City Draw No Bet 0.5pt @ 1.90


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