Gold Coast Titans v Cronulla Sharks Saturday, April 28, 5:30pm (AEST) Cbus Super Stadium, Gold Coast
The Titans will finally return to Cbus Super Stadium, with the Commonwealth Games on the Gold Coast wrapped up. It will be the Titans first proper home match since defeating the Raiders 30-28 back in Round 1. Titans five-eighth Kane Elgey has been dropped from the side, with Bryce Cartwright moving into the No.6 jersey. For the Sharks, Wade Graham has been named to make his return from a hamstring injury, while Jayson Bukuya has been named on the bench.
FormGold Coast have suffered heavy defeats in back-to-back games to the Panthers and the Cowboys after impressive wins over Brisbane and Manly. The Titans are now down to 11th with a 3-4 record. They have the worst defence in the NRL to go with the ninth rated attack. Cronulla ended a two-game losing streak with a 26-22 home win over Penrith. The Sharks are up to ninth on the ladder with their 3-4 record. Cronulla have the 14th rated attack and the eighth ranked defence.
Key MatchupBryce Cartwright v Matt Moylan: Cartwright played in the No.6 jersey against the Warriors back in Round 2 and has had to settle for a bench spot ever since. He gets his chance again via the dropping of Elgey, and it will be interesting to see if Garth Brennan lets him play his natural roving game or plays a complimentary role alongside Ash Taylor. Moylan is still finding his feet in the No.6 jersey at the Sharks, but did show some positive signs in the win over the Panthers last week, creating three line-break assists and setting up a try.
Stats That Matter– Gold Coast are 3-4 ATS with a 5-2 over number while Cronulla are 4-3 ATS with a 4-3 under record. – The Sharks and Titans are dead-square all-time with an 8-8-1 record though the Titans have not lost in the last three meetings. – Seven of the last eight meetings have been decided by a single score. – The Titans have dropped just two of the seven all-time meetings on the Gold Coast. – Four of the last six matches have topped 40 points. – The Titans are 14-10 ATS on the Gold Coast as a home underdog while they are 9-7 ATS with an 11-5 over record as a home underdog of less than a converted try. – The Titans have covered 7 of their last 11 at home after being held to 14 or fewer. – Cronulla are 25-19 ATS away from Shark Park over the last four seasons though they are just 9-11 ATS with a 13-7 over record as an interstate favourite. – The Sharks are 12-8 ATS interstate including a 4-2 ATS record as an interstate favourite with a 6-0 record. – The Sharks are 8-16 ATS after scoring 26 or more.
Final ThoughtsIt’s been a tough start to the season for the Titans, with only one match at home because of the Commonwealth Games. The Wolf is going to back them for the upset here. The Titans have dropped just two of the seven all-time meetings against the Sharks on the Gold Coast, and haven’t lost in the last three meetings against the Sharks. Happy to take them as home underdogs.
How It’s Shaping UpGold Coast by 2
Recommended BetsBest: Gold Coast +2.5 ($1.91) Value: Gold Coast & Over 42.5 ($4.10) First Tryscorer: Konrad Hurrell ($13)