Saturday, June 30, 7:35pm
Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane
Broncos coach Wayne Bennett realises the importance of this clash between the 8th-placed Broncos and 9th-placed Raiders, and as a result has named all of his Origin and representative stars to back-up here. The Raiders looked like a completely different side with the return of Josh Hodgson in their 48-12 thumping of the Tigers and will be looking to build on that momentum as they look to bridge the gap on the Broncos.
Recent FormBrisbane sit eighth on the ladder with an 8-6 record though they possess a negative differential. The Broncos rank 10th in scoring and a surprising 12th in defence. Brisbane have won five of their last seven but have been held to 20 or fewer in their last three. Canberra are ninth on the ladder with a 6-8 record. They have won just two of their last five but enter this off a 48-12 win over the Tigers, a game they trailed 12-10 at halftime. The Raiders rank third in scoring but are the 11th best defensive team. The Raiders have scored 21-plus in their last three.
Stats That Matter– Brisbane are 6-8 ATS with an 8-6 over number with three straight under games.
– Canberra are 6-8 ATS with a 7-7 total record.
– Brisbane have won five straight and eight of their last 10 against Canberra.
– In those five wins, the average winning margin has been 11ppg.
– The Broncos have won four straight and nine of 10 at Suncorp against the Raiders.
– Brisbane are 27-22 ATS with a 31-18 over record at Suncorp but have just three covers in their last 10.
– The over has hit in 14 of the last 18 Broncos games at Suncorp.
– Brisbane have covered just 1 of their last 7 at Suncorp when favoured by 4 or more points.
– Brisbane are 20-13 ATS with a 22-11 over record at Suncorp off a win.
– The Raiders are 27-15 ATS with a 26-16 over record interstate while they are 11-7 ATS interstate getting a start of 4 or more.
– The Raiders are 14-7 ATS getting 4 or more start.
– The Raiders are 10-2 ATS since 2015 as an underdog after scoring 30-plus points with an 8-4 over record.
– Canberra are 6-8 ATS with a 7-7 total record.
– Brisbane have won five straight and eight of their last 10 against Canberra.
– In those five wins, the average winning margin has been 11ppg.
– The Broncos have won four straight and nine of 10 at Suncorp against the Raiders.
– Brisbane are 27-22 ATS with a 31-18 over record at Suncorp but have just three covers in their last 10.
– The over has hit in 14 of the last 18 Broncos games at Suncorp.
– Brisbane have covered just 1 of their last 7 at Suncorp when favoured by 4 or more points.
– Brisbane are 20-13 ATS with a 22-11 over record at Suncorp off a win.
– The Raiders are 27-15 ATS with a 26-16 over record interstate while they are 11-7 ATS interstate getting a start of 4 or more.
– The Raiders are 14-7 ATS getting 4 or more start.
– The Raiders are 10-2 ATS since 2015 as an underdog after scoring 30-plus points with an 8-4 over record.
Final ThoughtsIf the rain stays away, The Wolf is expecting both sides to throw the ball around which should result in plenty of points. The Raiders rank third in scoring, and have more points in them now with the return of Josh Hodgson, while overs has hit in 14 of the last 18 Broncos games at Suncorp Stadium. All we need is a dry track and these sides will put on a show.
How It Shapes UpBrisbane by 4
Recommended Bets
Best: Over 44 ($1.91)
Value: Brisbane 1-12 ($3.15)
First Tryscorer: Corey Oates ($8)
Best: Over 44 ($1.91)
Value: Brisbane 1-12 ($3.15)
First Tryscorer: Corey Oates ($8)
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