Sydney Roosters v Melbourne Storm
Friday, June 29, 7:55pm
Adelaide Oval

Both the Roosters and Storm find themselves just outside the Top 4 which makes this a crucial match in the City of Churches. The Roosters will be missing Boyd Cordner, Joseph Manu and Ryan Matterson, while Jared Waerea-Hargreaves has been named on an extended bench after the short turnaround from the Test match between England and New Zealand in Denver. Meanwhile, the Storm have named their Origin stars in Billy Slater, Will Chambers, Josh Addo-Carr, Cameron Munster and Felise Kaufusi to take their spots against the Roosters. However, keep an eye on team news as there could be late changes.
Recent FormThe Roosters are sixth on the ladder with a 10-5 record. They have won four straight and have posted 32 or more points in three of their last six. The Roosters have the best defence in the NRL while they rate sixth in scoring. Melbourne are the second best defensive team and fourth rated attacking side but sit fifth on the ladder with a 9-6 record. The Storm have won three straight and have conceded 16 or fewer in all three.
Stats That Matter– The Sydney Roosters are 8-7 ATS with a 9-6 under number with four straight covers.
– Melbourne are 7-7 ATS with an 8-6 under record with five straight under matches.
– Melbourne have won four of the last five against the Sydney Roosters.
– These teams played in Adelaide last year with the Roosters winning 25-24.
– Four of the last five have topped 36 points.
– The over has hit in the last two games played in Adelaide.
– The Roosters are 18-12 ATS as an underdog over the last four years.
– The Roosters are 1-8 ATS away from Allianz after scoring 30 with a 7-2 over record.
– The over is 7-4 after the Roosters have won four straight.
– The under is 29-15 this year when teams are off a 13-plus win.
– The Roosters are 9-18 ATS off a win of 13-plus since 2015.
– Melbourne are 13-5 ATS as a favourite of less than a try with an 11-7 under record.
– The Storm are 21-13 ATS with a 20-14 under record away from AAMI after conceding 14 or fewer. Melbourne are 14-6 ATS away from home off a win of 13 or more with a 12-8 under record.
– The Storm have covered 8 of 10 off a break of 11 or more days.
Final ThoughtsThe Wolf is happy to play the Storm here if all of their Origin stars do indeed back-up as listed on Tuesday. Melbourne have won four of the last five against the Roosters, and have the advantage of a fresh Cameron Smith after he announced his retirement from representative football before this year’s Origin series.
How It Shapes UpMelbourne by 6
Recommended Bets
Best: Melbourne ($1.65)
Value: Melbourne 1-12 ($2.80)
First Tryscorer: Josh Addo-Carr ($8)

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