Man City v Crystal Palace
Saturday 22 December, 15:00

Star players fit again

City go into the festive period with key players Kevin de Bruyne and Sergio Aguero back from injury and buoyed by a place in the League Cup semi-finals, secured on penalties at Leicester on Tuesday night.
This is the first of four matches over the holiday period, culminating in the blockbuster home clash with Liverpool on January 3.
Pep Guardiola still has a lengthy list of injured players, including David Silva, Benjamin Mendy and Vincent Kompany.

Zaha back for Palace

Palace proved they could win without Wilfried Zaha with last week's 1-0 home victory over Leicester and their talismanic striker is available again after suspension.
That was a welcome three points for Roy Hodgson, lifting his side to 15th, but this is the toughest possible start to the Christmas campaign and Palace have taken only one point from their last six away matches.
James Tomkins is also available again after suspension. Vincente Guaita kept a clean sheet against Leicester and will continue in goal if Wayne Hennessey is unable to prove his fitness. Midfielder Cheikhou Kouyate is another doubt, having gone off with a knock against Leicester.

Perfect 10 for City

City have won their last 10 home Premier League games, going back to a goalless draw with Huddersfield in May, and the last three wins have been 3-1 - the most common scoreline during that run (four times in all).
Only three of those 10 wins were to nil and better options would have been a City win with over 2.5 goals (nine times out of 10) or with both teams to score (seven out of 10).
Another option to consider is a City win with over 3.5 goals (seven out of 10) and that would have covered last season's equivalent fixture (5-0), although it is worth noting Palace held them to a goalless draw at home (and missed a late penalty).
Palace's away record is W2 D1 L6, although the wins were against bottom two Fulham and Huddersfield and Hodgson's side have conceded at least two goals in six of their other away games (the exception being the 0-0 at Manchester United).
The Eagles have scored in seven of those nine away games and, with Zaha back, it is worth taking a punt on a City win with both teams to score at 2.76.

High score likely

Over 2.5 goals looks an obvious call, with eight of City's nine home games having gone that way, and it is worth looking further to 3.5 goals, which has occurred six times out of nine. Over 3.5 goals can be backed at 1.88.
Five of Palace's six away defeats this season have featured over 2.5 goals, with the last three going over 3.5.

Opta Stat

Crystal Palace have failed to score in eight of their last 10 Premier League games against Manchester City, netting just three goals in this run. City are 1.81 to win to nil
Back Man City to win with both teams to score at 2.76

0 nhận xét Blogger 0 Facebook

Post a comment