Atletico Madrid v Lokomotiv Moscow: Hosts will end winless streak


Atletico Madrid are struggling, but Dan Fitch thinks that they will have just enough quality to beat Lokomotiv Moscow...

Atletico Madrid are struggling, but Dan Fitch thinks that they will have just enough quality to beat Lokomotiv Moscow...
Atletico Madrid 1.19 v Lokomotiv Moscow 22.00; The Draw 8.20
Wednesday 11 December, 20:00
Live on BT Sport Extra

Both teams in poor form

Atletico Madrid need a win against Lokomotiv Moscow to guarantee their place in the knockout stages of the Champions League.
Currently second in Group D, Atletico have a point advantage over Bayer Leverkusen, who host Juventus. On the face of it, Atletico's game is much the easier one, with Lokomotiv already eliminated from the competition and with no chance of making the Europa League. Yet Juventus also have nothing to play for having won the group and are sure to send a weakened side to Germany.
Normally you would rely upon Atletico to get the job done in a clinical matter, but they are going through something of a minor crisis right now. Without a win in four games (D2 L2), they have failed to score in the last three matches. Atletico are seventh in La Liga and are already eight points behind Barcelona and Real Madrid, who have played a game less.
They could be saved by the fact that Lokomotiv Moscow are also in dreadful form. The Russians have lost each of their last three games, losing 4-0 to Arsenal Tula over the weekend. Since winning their opening group game against Bayer Leverkusen, they have lost all four of their Champions League matches.

Atletico to sneak win they need

Considering Atletico's current problems their odds of 1.19 to win offer little value.
We have to assume that they have the quality needed to end their poor run and return to winning ways though, against a poor Lokomotiv side. The key to finding value is the likelihood that this will be a low scoring game. Some 14 of Atletico's last 16 games have seen less than three goals scored and you can back a home win and under 2.5 goals at 2.88.

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