Chelsea v Lille: Goalscoring youngsters to send Blues through
Chelsea should get the job done and it may well be a pair of goalscoring youngsters at a good price who book the Blues' passage to the Last 16, says Jamie Pacheco.
Chelsea v Lille Tuesday December 10, 20:00 Live on BT Sport 2
Blues need to forget about Everton match
Chelsea had a bad day at the office on Saturday afternoon. Part of that was due to the usual 'bounce effect' that follows a manager being sacked and led to an inspired and gutsy performance by Everton. But the other part of it was that Chelsea just weren't really at the races.
It may just be that some of the younger players like Tammy Abraham, Mason Mount and Christian Pulisic have simply played too many minutes over the past few weeks and need a bit of a rest. Then again, this isn't the match to do that.
Jorginho may well return to the heart of Chelsea's midfield after not starting at the weekend.
Disastrous campaign for Lille
Having worked so hard to get into the competition, Lille may be feeling they shouldn't have bothered.
It's been a disastrous campaign where they've only picked up a sole point. It was one of the tougher groups but you can't be losing four games out of five and having a goal difference of -9 when you've finished second in Ligue 1 the previous season.
So great is the difference in points between them and the rest of the Group that they can't even think about qualifying for the Europa League, whatever happens in this match. That said, there's still pride to play for here. Not to mention, prize money.
Chelsea lay-to-back could be a strategy
Chelsea are 1.23 and that sounds about right. Not only are Lille unlikely to have the sort of weapons that Everton did but home advantage should prove another factor in Chelsea's favour. Well, you'd think so but strangely, Chelsea have failed to win any of their last five at Stamford Bridge in this competition.
If there's one reason to be laying the Blues here, it may be that one. Another may be that they could also be suffering a bit of a hangover from Saturday's defeat so a lay-to-back of the hosts could be a decent approach here if you think it may take a while for Frank Lampard's men to get going.
A reminder that a win and Chelsea are definitely through; a draw would be enough provided Ajax beat Valencia.
'Overs' likely but too short
It's hardly surprising that over 2.5 goals is such a short price here at 1.52. It would have paid out in eight of Chelsea's last ten matches in all competitions and in three of their five matches in this competition. Apart from just looking at the stats, the odds-compilers are also realising that Lampard is happy to concede a few goals as long as his side are constantly being a goal threat at the other end of the pitch.
Lille's results paint a very different picture. Their last six have all gone 'unders' but Ligue 1 is a notoriously low-scoring league so that should come as no surprise.
A 4-1 loss away at Valencia back in early November suggests they can fall apart but the 'overs' price is too short to get involved in and it doesn't seem wise to think it will be low-scoring.
Back this pair of goalscoring youngsters
You don't normally associate Willian with being a prolific goalscorer but he's been around at Chelsea for a while now and needs just one more goal to go fourth on the list of Chelsea's all-time top scorers in the Champions League, as Opta tell us. He's certainly got a long way to go in terms of catching up with the likes of Didier Drogba (36) and he's 13/10 to add to his 10 in this competition, on Tuesday night.
Tammy Abraham is unsurprisingly the favourite to score here at just 11/25 and is 9/4 to score two or more, something he's managed three times already this season.
Youngsters Mason Mount and Christian Pulisic are both 6/4 to score and it certainly makes sense to back the pair of them. One of them scoring nets you a small profit, both scoring nets you a decent one.
They may both be a little tired but Lampard has no choice but to play his best XI on the night and they're certainly both a part of that. They each have six for the season and if Chelsea get going and score two or three, there's every chance that they'll be among them.