AFL Preview: Eagles v Demons

West Coast v Melbourne

Saturday 7:40pm at Domain Stadium

With both West Coast and Melbourne 7-5 and just inside the Top 8, this match seems critical to both team’s finals hopes.

Form

West Coast are seventh on the ladder with a 7-5 record. The Eagles rank 11th in attack and seventh in scoring so their position on the ladder is fair. They dropped three on end before a big home win over Geelong. West Coast are 5-1 at Subiaco this season. The Eagles have not posted 100 points since Round 6.

Melbourne have been in hot form with three straight wins that have moved them up to fifth on the premiership ladder. The Demons actually rank fourth in attack while they are ninth in defence. Melbourne have posted 100-plus in six of their last nine matches. The Demons have won both interstate games this year.

Stats That Matter

– West Coast have won nine straight against Melbourne with the Demons posting more than 62 just once in that run.

– West Coast have won nine straight against Melbourne at Subiaco since the Demons’ last win there in 2002.

– The Eagles have covered 5 of the 6 matches since 2012.

– West Coast have covered 12 of their last 18 at Subiaco.

– The Eagles are 29-14 ATS when favoured at Subiaco by more than two goals.

– The under is 17-12 when the Eagles are favoured at Subiaco off a win.

– Melbourne have covered just 1 of 6 at Subiaco since 2012.

– The Demons have covered their last five interstate.

– The under is 21-11 when Melbourne travel interstate since 2012.

– Melbourne are 2-5 ATS interstate off posting 100 points.

– West Coast are 23-9 under in night games.

Betting Data

2017 Line: West Coast 5-7, Melbourne 5-7

2017 Over-Under: West Coast 5-7, Melbourne 6-6

What To Expect

West Coast have long dominated Melbourne and with their outstanding record at Subiaco it is hard to imagine them not getting the money again. Melbourne have been in great form, capped by a total decimation of the premiers last Sunday, but they have to prove themselves against West Coast before they can be considered.

How It’s Shaping Up

West Coast by 24

Recommended Bet

West Coast -15.5 ($1.90)

Player Markets

Elliot Yeo has had a quality season fantasy-wise averaging 106.8 points. He has posted 110-plus in five of his last nine.

Recommended Bet

Elliot Yeo 110+ Fantasy Points ($1.90)