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Wests Tigers v Gold Coast Titans

Friday, June 23, 7:50pm (AEST), Campbelltown Stadium, Sydney

It’s been a tough season to date for both the last-placed Tigers and the 14th-placed Titans. The outcome of this clash will rely heavily on the returning Origin stars for both sides. The Tigers will have James Tedesco and Aaron Woods backing up after Origin II, while the injury-depleted Titans will be sweating on the availability of Jarryd Hayne, Nathan Peats and Jarrod Wallace after Wednesday night’s big clash.
The Titans have won the last three matches over the Tigers and did the double over them in 2016, including a 19-18 victory at Campbelltown, with Jarryd Hayne kicking the match-winning field goal and famously declaring “This is my house”. Wingers David Nofoaluma and Anthony Don both crossed for doubles in the match.
The Wests Tigers are 3-11 and are now last on the ladder after Newcastle claimed two points with the bye. They had Cronulla beaten all ends up but blew an eight-point lead with eight minutes to go in a performance of utter stupidity. The Tigers have now dropped six on end and have conceded at least 22 in five of those. Gold Coast enter this off a horrific loss to South Sydney, going down 36-20 after leading 14-0 in what can only be called an embarrassing performance. They are 14th on the ladder with a 4-10 record. Gold Coast have the worst defence in the NRL with 30-plus conceded in four of their last five.
Key Matchup
James Tedesco v Jarryd Hayne. They’ll be teammates for NSW on Wednesday night, but opponents at Campbelltown Stadium on Friday night. Tedesco was outstanding for the Blues in Game 1 but has struggled to replicate that sort of form at club level. The personnel around him is a huge reason why and the Tigers woes in the halves hasn’t helped his cause. Tedesco is a Wests Magpies junior and will want to repay the Campbelltown faithful before he departs for the Roosters next season. Hayne played fullback in the Round 14 loss to the Warriors and should be named in the No.1 jersey unless Neil Henry shifts him into the halves as cover for the injured Kane Elgey. Hayne was the hero for the Titans last time they played at Campbelltown, kicking the winning field-goal and will be looking for a repeat performance.
Stats That Matter
– Wests Tigers are 6-8 ATS with an 8-6 under record while Gold Coast are 6-8 ATS with an 11-3 over number.
– The Titans have won three straight against the Tigers including a dramatic 19-18 win at Campbelltown in their last meeting.
– The Tigers are 8-4 ATS as a home underdog since 2014 after scoring 20 or more with an 8-4 under record while they have covered 6 of their last 9 as a home underdog after conceding 24 or more.
– The Titans are 24-13 ATS interstate since 2014 with a POT of 52%.
– As an interstate favourite the Titans are 2-2 ATS while as a favourite overall they are 7-13 ATS since 2014.
– Gold Coast have covered just 4 of their last 14 night games while the Tigers have covered 10 of their last 14 night matches.
Final Thoughts
The Wolf is struggling to find the winner here with any sort of confidence. The Titans were awful against the Rabbitohs last week, while the Tigers have forgotten how to win. He’s settled on the home side, who don’t have the current injury toll that the Titans are dealing with and weren’t disgraced against the defending premiers last week.
How It’s Shaping Up
Wests by 2
Best BetWests +2.5 ($1.91)
Other Recommended Bets
Under 44.5 ($1.88)

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