EPL Winner

Leicester’s title winning run two seasons ago will go down in sporting history and it could be centuries until it ever happens again. There is no point mentioning any team outside the top 6 in the market and despite Man City being installed as firm favourites The Wolf is more than happy to steer clear of them at the price.
Man City ($2.80)
Guardiola’s first season in the Premier League was one to forget. His side had all sorts of defensive issues throughout the first half of the season and a run of 10 wins, 6 draws and only 1 loss in their final 17 games saw them pip Liverpool at the post for the final automatic UCL spot. Pep has splashed the cash to sort his defensive woes out as a result. He spent over £200 million – most of it on defence. Kyle Walker and Mendy will now occupy the wing back positions while Edeson will replace the very shaky Caballero as Bravo’s back up between the sticks. Scoring goals should be no problem with Bernardo Silva joining an attack that includes David Silva, De Bruyne, Sterling, Jesus and Aguero. That being said The Wolf has concerns over how their defence will gel. Stones and Ottamendi have looked very vulnerable and they almost have too many players to fit in with Mangala and Kompany also in the frame. As we have seen in the past it is the signs with continuity defensively that succeed – Tottenham and Chelsea the clear cases in point from last season. At the price The Wolf wants nothing to do with City.
Chelsea ($4.50)
The Blues went on an unprecedented run to win the league last season and it came on the back of no European football. We saw Liverpool make a run at it in similar circumstances several years back and The Blues took full advantage under Conte. They had no major injuries to key personnel and rolled out the same starting XI for months on end with a full weeks rest between games. They will not be as lucky this time around and the return to the UCL will really test them. Conte has been very conservative in the transfer market and the addition of Morata means little with Diego Costa set to leave and they have a very thin squad with the amount of football they will be playing. Conte is fully aware that they are at least 2-3 world class players short but has let it be known that they will not take part in the silly spending – funny when club owner Abramovich has been far from shy to do so in the past. With Hazard’s name also being thrown up as a possible Neymar replacement at Barca you don’t want to be backing Chelsea to win the league.
Man Utd ($4.50)
This is a classic case of name and fame determining a team’s price in the market. As we have become accustomed to, Jose Mourinho has broken the bank balance yet again. Wondering what £140 million gets you these days… Lukaku, Matic and Lindelof – that’s it! Lukaku may be the man they need up front and he is a proven goal scorer in the EPL but by no means does it justify the £72 million price tag. The Wolf believes that Matic will in fact be the more important signing of the two. The Serbian will plug the hole in midfield which will allow Pogba and Herrera to play more creative roles up the field. Creativeness is what the Red Devils lacked last year and it is the main reason why they had a league high 15 draws. They scored just 54 goals (one less than Bournemouth) and it is hard to see the introduction of two players contributing the additional 30 goals required to challenge for the title. The Mourinho mentality saw them struggle last season and that will not be changing.
Tottenham ($10.00)
They won 12 of their last 13 but a run of 4 consecutive draws early in the season and a record Chelsea run cost them the title. Spurs went undefeated at home and conceded just 26 goals – 7 less than title winners Chelsea. They also netted a league best 86 goals with Kane ending the season with 29. If there is one side that has embraced the ‘team’ concept in the EPL it is Pochettino and his Spurs. The loss of Walker may look big on paper but Trippier is more than capable of slotting in. Pochettino has made no signings but The Wolf says that it will not be that big an issue as long as they do not progress far in the UCL and other competitions. spurs have the most settled squad in the league and the value of that should not be underestimated. They don’t need to accommodate for any new players and the trio of Eriksen, Dele Ali and Kane is something to behold. They combined for 55 goals and 38 assists and with a very good run in the opening 8 weeks if they are a real danger to claim their first EPL title. At double figure odds they are a great bet.
Arsenal ($12.00)
Did someone say ‘Wenger Out’… not only has Wenger stayed, somehow he has managed to keep the entire squad including Aexis Sanchez. The Chilean is in the final year of his contract and the Gunners risk losing him for nothing at the end of the season but Wenger has made it clear that there is no intention to sell him. With the club finally shedding out some cash to buy a world class striker they may well have added the final piece to the puzzle. Most importantly, there is no UCL to worry about and Wenger can get away with playing youngsters in the early rounds of the Europa. Mertesacker, Ramsey and Cazorla spent more than enough time on the sidelines last season and their returns will almost feel like the club has added new players to the squad. They are likely to be in the same position that Chelsea was last season – playing an almost identical XI and having a full week off between matches. They are huge overs at the price!
Liverpool ($13.00)
The Wolf has something to say… When Liverpool signed Jurgen Klopp there was an expectation that he would scour the Bundesliga for both young talent and proven commodities – all at below market prices. This has definitely NOT been the case with Mane, Wijnaldum and Salah the only significant signings. Mane was brilliant until he got injured last season and Salah should give them additional pace on the flanks but by no means are Liverpool in a position to challenge for anything. If Coiutinho mover to the Nou Camp the Reds are zero chance of a top 4 finish.
Recommended Bets
With City far too short, Chelsea carrying a smaller than required squad and Man Utd struggling to score goals The Wolf will be backing Tottenham and Arsenal in a ‘two for the price of one’. With United and Chelsea both at the $4.50 mark he says there is far better value in backing Spurs and Arsenal with combined odds of more than $5.
Best Bet: Tottenham ($10.00)
Other: Arsenal ($12.00)

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