Gold Coast Titans v Brisbane Broncos Sunday, July 8, 4:10pm Cbus Super Stadium, Gold Coast
The Titans are riding a two-match winning streak and will fancy their chances of recording a rare win over big brother here. The Titans will be without Jarrod Wallace and Jai Arrow, and potentially Ryan James on Origin duty, while the Broncos will be missing Origin representatives, Corey Oates, Andrew McCullough, Josh McGuire and James Roberts. The 8th-placed Broncos (20 competition points) have opened up a six-point gap to the 9th-placed Raiders and will be looking to maintain their breathing room over the trio of teams on 14 competition points with a win over the Titans.
Recent FormGold Coast have won their last two against Canterbury and the Wests Tigers and have ascended to 11th on the ladder. The Titans have posted 30 points in three of their last five. Gold Coast rank 10th in scoring while they rate 15th in defence, conceding 24.5ppg. Brisbane have won six of their last eight and remain eighth on the ladder. The Broncos have scored 20-plus in eight of their last 10. Brisbane rank 11th in scoring and 12th in defence.
Stats That Matter– Gold Coast are 9-6 ATS with a 9-6 over record. – They have covered in their last three. – Brisbane are 7-8 ATS with a 9-6 over number. – The Broncos have won 15 of the last 18 against the Titans and have never lost two in a row to the Gold Coast. – The Broncos have won 7 of the last 9 against the Titans at Robina with all wins coming by 8 or more points. – The teams have played in five straight that have surpassed 40 points. – Home underdogs off 30+ points are 24-15 ATS since 2015 with a 25-14 under record. – The Titans are 17-11 ATS as a home underdog with an 8-4 ATS record off a win. – The over has hit in 12 of the last 16 Titans home day games. – Gold Coast are 8-5 ATS off a win of 13+. – The over has hit in 9 of the last 14 after the Titans have won two straight. – Brisbane are 9-15 ATS as a road favourite over the last four years. – Brisbane are 12-6 ATS on the road after conceding 22 or more. – Brisbane have covered just 3 of their last 12 on the road after posting a score of 22 or more.
Final ThoughtsBoth sides are missing some big names, but The Wolf has settled on the Titans, who should hopefully get Ryan James back into the side if he isn’t required as 18th man for the Blues. The +3.5 start to the Titans looks the play in a contest that will be decided by very little. The Broncos always struggle when Andrew McCullough is out of the side, and are 9-15 ATS as a road favourite over the last four years. Take the Titans with the start and straight up.
How It Shapes UpGold Coast by 2
Recommended Bets Best: Gold Coast +3.5 ($1.91) Value: Gold Coast 1-12 ($3.50) First Tryscorer: Anthony Don