North Queensland Cowboys v St George Illawarra Dragons Saturday, July 21, 7:35pm 1300SMILES Stadium, Townsville
The Dragons have dropped their last two matches and will be hoping a trip to Townsville can bring about a change in fortunes. Meanwhile, Johnathan Thurston’s final season continues to go from bad to worse after the Cowboys were hammered 38-12 by the Raiders in Canberra last week.
Recent FormNorth Queensland are 15th on the ladder with the 15th ranking in scoring and the 13th rating in defence. The Cowboys have lost their last four and seven of their last eight. North Queensland have conceded 20 or more in their last four and seven of their last nine. St George Illawarra have fallen to third on the ladder following their loss to the Wests Tigers. The Saints have lost their last two and have conceded 16 or more in seven of their last eight. The Dragons rank third in scoring and sixth in defence.
Stats That Matter– North Queensland are 7-10 ATS with an 11-6 under record while St George Illawarra are 8-9 ATS with a 12-5 under record. – They have covered and gone over in just 1 of their last 8. – The Dragons have won the last two meetings against the Cowboys though North Queensland have won four straight in Townsville. – Three of the last four have failed to surpass 36 points. – North Queensland are 3-6 ATS as a home underdog, going under in seven of nine, while they are 0-3 ATS as a home underdog of 4 or more. – North Queensland have covered just 1 of 6 at home after conceding 30 or more. – The Dragons have covered just 11 of their last 28 when favoured by 4 or more, including a 3-10 ATS record away from their two suburban home grounds. – The Saints are 24-33 ATS away from their suburban home grounds with a 39-18 under record. – Off a loss on the road they are 10-14 ATS with a 19-5 under record. – The Saints are 10-18 ATS in night games away from their suburban home grounds while the under is 21-7.
Final ThoughtsThe Dragons looked tired against the Tigers last week and can be forgiven for having an Origin hangover with the amount of players they had featured in the pinnacle of the game. The Dragons have won their last two against the Cowboys and need to win this match to stop their slide out of the Top 4. The Red V will bounce here against a Cowboys side that looks lost for answers.
How It Shapes UpSt George Illawarra by 4
Recommended Bets Best: St George Illawarra ($1.54) Value: St George Illawarra 1-12 ($3) First Tryscorer: Tim Lafai ($15)