Saturday, July 21, 5:30pm
ANZ Stadium, Sydney
The Tigers will be hoping they can stop the Rabbitohs nine-match winning streak and spoil John Sutton’s 300th game in the process. In a strange twist of fate, Robbie Farah will play his 250th match for the Tigers, and it happens to be against the Rabbitohs, the club he played for only weeks ago.
Recent FormWests Tigers are 10th on the ladder with an 8-9 record. They ended a four-game losing streak with a win on the road to the Dragons. The Tigers rank seventh in defence but a low 15th in scoring. South Sydney lead the premiership with a 13-4 record. They have won nine straight. The Bunnies rank first in scoring while they are the fifth best defensive side. Souths have scored 21-plus in five of their last six.
Stats That Matter– Wests Tigers are 9-8 ATS with an 11-6 under record while South Sydney are 12-5 ATS with a 10-7 under record, going under in 4 of their last 5.
– The Tigers have remarkably won four of their last five against the Rabbitohs.
– The Tigers hold an 8-7 all-time edge at ANZ.
– Eight of the last 10 matches have all topped 40 points.
– The Tigers have covered 14 of their last 18 getting a start of 6.5 or more dating back to early 2017.
– Home underdogs of 8.5 or more are 75-46 ATS since 2008 with those off a win 22-7 ATS.
– Home underdogs of four or more off a win cover at 60% since 2015.
– The Tigers are 17-9 ATS at ANZ, including a 9-3 ATS record with a 9-3 over number at ANZ at night.
– Teams who have won nine straight are 16-11 ATS since 2008.
– Souths have covered 13 of 16 at ANZ, including five straight when favoured by more than a converted try.
– Souths are 13-7 ATS at ANZ after scoring 24 or more points.
– The Tigers have remarkably won four of their last five against the Rabbitohs.
– The Tigers hold an 8-7 all-time edge at ANZ.
– Eight of the last 10 matches have all topped 40 points.
– The Tigers have covered 14 of their last 18 getting a start of 6.5 or more dating back to early 2017.
– Home underdogs of 8.5 or more are 75-46 ATS since 2008 with those off a win 22-7 ATS.
– Home underdogs of four or more off a win cover at 60% since 2015.
– The Tigers are 17-9 ATS at ANZ, including a 9-3 ATS record with a 9-3 over number at ANZ at night.
– Teams who have won nine straight are 16-11 ATS since 2008.
– Souths have covered 13 of 16 at ANZ, including five straight when favoured by more than a converted try.
– Souths are 13-7 ATS at ANZ after scoring 24 or more points.
Final ThoughtsIt’s hard to back against the high-flying Rabbitohs, but they might not get it all their own way against a Tigers side who upset the Dragons last week. The Tigers have covered 14 of their last 18 getting a start of 6.5 or more dating back to early 2017 and have remarkably won four of their last five against the Rabbitohs. The 9.5 start looks generous here.
How It Shapes UpSouth Sydney by 6
Recommended Bets
Best: Wests +9.5 ($1.91)
Value: Souths 1-12 & Over 40.5 ($6.50)
First Tryscorer: Robert Jennings ($7)
Best: Wests +9.5 ($1.91)
Value: Souths 1-12 & Over 40.5 ($6.50)
First Tryscorer: Robert Jennings ($7)
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