Parramatta Eels v Canterbury Bulldogs Thursday, July 19, 7:50pm ANZ Stadium, Sydney
It’s been a tough season for both of these proud Sydney clubs, but with a wooden spoon potentially on the line for the 14th-placed Eels and the last-placed Bulldogs, there is plenty to play for between these old rivals.
Recent FormParramatta are in last place on the ladder with a 3-14 record. They have lost three straight and eight of their last nine. The Eels have the worst ranked attack but have posted 16 or more in four straight. Parramatta rank 14th in defence. Canterbury have moved up to 14th though they have just a 4-13 record. The Bulldogs have won just one of their last seven and dropped their last two. They rank 13th in scoring while they are the 10th best defensive team. Canterbury have conceded an average of 24.4ppg in their last five.
Key MatchupClint Gutherson v Will Hopoate: Gutherson has struggled to reach the lofty heights of 2017, with his comeback from an ACL injury slowing him down. However, since he has been handed the captaincy, he’ll be looking to lead from the front and finish the season off strongly for the Eels as they look to avoid the spoon. Hopoate was given a licence to offload against the Rabbitohs and offload he did! Hoppa made an impressive 10 offloads and produced one of the best matches of his career, running the ball 30 times for 290 metres.
Stats That Matter– Parramatta are 5-12 ATS with an 11-6 under record with the under hitting in 7 of their last 8. – Canterbury are 8-9 ATS with a 10-7 under number. – Canterbury defeated Parramatta 20-12 when the teams met earlier in the year but the Eels won the four previous meetings. – None of the last six matches have topped 34 points. – The Bulldogs have won 18 of the 31 matches played at ANZ. – The Eels have failed to cover their last eight as a favourite and they are 15-21 ATS with a 25-11 under record since 2015. – As a favourite at ANZ, the Eels are 8-12 ATS with a 15-5 under record while at the ground overall they have covered just 2 of their last 13 with a 22-11 under record since 2015. – The under is 14-2 when the Eels are favourite at night while it it 16-7 when the Eels play at night at ANZ. – The Bulldogs are 13-9 ATS at ANZ as an underdog with a 15-7 under record. – Canterbury are 12-16 ATS with a 17-11 under record in night games at the ground while they are 7-3 ATS with an 8-2 under record at night at ANZ after scoring 14 or fewer. – The Bulldogs are 13-4 ATS with an 11-6 under record at ANZ after scoring 14 or fewer. – Canterbury are 14-7 ATS off a loss of 13 or more.
Final ThoughtsIt’s hard to get too excited about this clash, but a best bet must be found. The unders looks like the best play here, with the Eels possessing the worst attack in the league, while the Bulldogs rank 13th in scoring. None of the last six matches between the sides have topped 34 points and we should see another low-scoring affair here.
How It Shapes UpParramatta by 2
Recommended Bets Best: Under 36.5 ($1.91) Value: Parramatta 1-12 ($3) First Tryscorer: Bevan French ($9)