Parramatta Eels v Gold Coast Titans Saturday, August 4, 5:30pm ANZ Stadium, Sydney
This shapes up as a must-win clash for the Eels if they want to avoid the wooden spoon, with matches against the Dragons, Storm and Roosters still to come. They’ll be disappointed that they blew an 18-6 halftime lead against the Rabbitohs last week, but the signs were promising leading into this clash with the Titans. Meanwhile, the Titans enter this off their most impressive performance of the season, a 36-12 win over the Warriors. Can they bring that form to Sydney?
Recent FormParramatta sit last on the ladder with a 4-15 record. They have the worst attack in the NRL while they rank 12th defensively. The Eels gave won just two of their last 11. Parramatta have surpassed 20 points just once since Round 8. Gold Coast are 12th on the ladder with a 7-12 record. The Titans have the second worst defence in the premiership while they rate 10th in scoring. Gold Coast are 5-2 against teams outside the Top 8.
Stats That Matter– Parramatta are 7-12 ATS with a 12-7 under record. – The Eels have covered 3 of their last and gone under in 8 of 10. – Gold Coast are 10-9 ATS with an 11-8 over record. – Gold Coast have won 7 of the last 10 against Parramatta but the Eels have won 3 of the last 4 in Sydney. – Big scorers have been the norm with 13 of the last 15 topping 38 points. – The Eels have covered just 1 of their last 9 as a favourite. – The under has hit in 15 of 16 games when Parramatta are favoured. – The under is 23-12 in Eels games at ANZ over the last four seasons. – The Eels have covered just 4 of their last 14 at ANZ. – Parramatta have covered just 3 of their last 12 as a favourite at ANZ. – The under is 17-10 after the Eels conceded 26 or more. – Small interstate underdogs are 52-26 ATS over the last four seasons with the Titans 4-1 ATS in said situation. – The Titans have covered 4 of 6 interstate off a win of 13-plus.
Final ThoughtsThis shapes up as a real coin toss. The Wolf has settled on the Eels on the back of their first half against the Rabbitohs last week, and that they’ve won 3 of the last 4 clashes against the Titans in Sydney. It wouldn’t be a surprise to see a field goal separating these sides.