Penrith Panthers v Canberra Raiders Sunday, August 5, 4:10pm Panthers Stadium, Penrith
The Panthers got out of jail against the Sea Eagles last week and kept their Top 4 aspirations alive in the process. They take on a Raiders side who were embarrassed 44-10 by the Storm last week. They’ll have a licence to throw the ball around which makes this a massive danger game for the Panthers.
Recent FormPenrith are fifth on the ladder with a 12-7 record. The Panthers rank sixth in scoring and defence. The Panthers have won just two of their last six and have conceded 22 or more in five of their last seven. Canberra are 10th on the ladder with an 8-11 record. They have lost their last two and have won just four of their last 10. The Raiders have the second best attack in the NRL while they rank 13th in defence. Canberra have conceded 26 or more in four of their last five.
Stats That Matter– Penrith are 10-9 ATS with an 11-8 over record. – The Panthers have covered just 1 of 6 while they have gone over in 5 of 7. – Canberra are 8-11 ATS with a 12-7 over record, going over in seven straight. – The Panthers have won three straight against the Raiders with all matches decided by four points or fewer. – A Nathan Cleary field goal separated the teams when they met in Canberra in Round 14. – The last six at Penrith Stadium have been split down the middle. – Six of the last eight matches have topped 44 points so high scorers have been commonplace. – Penrith are 24-17 ATS with a 25-16 under record at Penrith Stadium with 12 covers in their last 16. – As a favourite of more than a converted try, Penrith are 10-6 ATS. – The Raiders are 29-18 ATS away from Canberra Stadium with a 20-10 ATS record (19-11 over) as an underdog. – Getting 6.5 or more, the Raiders are 10-4 ATS while off scoring 16 or fewer they are 7-2 ATS. – The over is 16-7 in Raiders day games on the road.
Final ThoughtsThe Wolf is keen to play the overs here. The Raiders can’t make the finals and will look to play an attacking brand of here. The Green Machine have gone over the total in their last seven matches, while six of the last eight matches between the Panthers and Raiders have topped 44 points.
How It Shapes UpPenrith by 4
Recommended Bets Best: Over 44.5 ($1.91) Value: Penrith 1-12 ($3.10) First Tryscorer: Dean Whare ($13)