Cronulla Sharks v Manly Sea Eagles Sunday, August 5, 2pm Southern Cross Group Stadium, Sydney
This shapes up as a very important match for the Sharks if they have aspirations to finish in the Top 4, sitting one win behind the Dragons who are currently in 4th spot. Meanwhile, it’s hard to know how the Sea Eagles will respond here after they inexplicably threw the match away against the Panthers last week.
Recent FormCronulla are sixth on the ladder with a 12-7 record. The Sharks have won 10 of their last 14 and have not lost two straight since Round 6. The Sharks are 8-1 against teams outside the Top 8 this year, not suffering a defeat since Round 1. Cronulla rank fourth in defence and ninth in scoring. Manly have lost three straight and seven of their last eight. They are down to 14th on the ladder with the second worst defence and rank eighth in scoring. Manly have conceded 84 points the last two weeks.
Stats That Matter– Cronulla are 9-10 ATS with an 11-8 under record. – Manly are 9-10 ATS with a 10-9 under record. – Manly have won 14 of the last 16 against Cronulla and 8 of the last 10 at Shark Park. – Five of the last seven meetings have tallied 34 points or fewer. – The Sharks have not posted more than 20 against the Sea Eagles since Round 19 of the 2009 season. – Cronulla are 18-27 ATS at Shark Park since 2015 with just four covers in their last 18. – As a favourite at Shark Park, Cronulla are 12-24 ATS with a 21-15 under record while as a favourite of 6.5 or more they have covered just 4 of 16. – The over has hit in four straight Shark Park day games. – Manly have covered 5 of their last 7 away from Brookvale while as an underdog of 8 or more away from Brookvale, the Eagles are 11-4 ATS since 2015 with a 13-2 under record. – The Sea Eagles are 7-14 ATS away from Brookvale after scoring more than 24.
Final ThoughtsThe Sharks are classic grinders, making the 8.5 start to the Sea Eagles very generous. Cronulla have not posted more than 20 against the Sea Eagles since Round 19 of the 2009 season. That’s an amazing stat! It’s hard to see a blowout if the Sea Eagles bring the same enthusiasm that they showed for the majority of last week’s match against the Panthers. The Sea Eagles have also covered 5 of their last 7 away from Brookvale.
How It Shapes UpCronulla by 4
Recommended Bets Best: Manly +8.5 ($1.91) Value: Cronulla & Under 42.5 ($2.65) First Tryscorer: Valentine Holmes ($10)