Sydney Roosters v North Queensland Cowboys
Saturday, August 4, 7:35pm
Allianz Stadium, Sydney

The Roosters have put the competition on notice! They’ve won nine of their last 11 matches and looked ultra-impressive against the Dragons last week. Unfortunately it’s a completely different story for the Cowboys, who were expected to contend for the title this year. They find themselves in 15th place with a 5-14 record and will be hoping that the Roosters have an off night to avoid a whitewash. Ryan Matterson replaces the injured Luke Keary in the Roosters No.6 jersey.
Recent FormSydney Roosters are up to third on the ladder on the back of their third straight win, a 36-18 demolition of St George Illawarra. The Roosters have now won 9 of their last 11. Their last three wins have come by an average of 19.7ppg. They rank top in defence and fifth in scoring. North Queensland are down to 15th on the ladder with a 5-14 record. The Cowboys ended a five-game losing streak before a last-ditch 20-18 win over Newcastle.  North Queensland rank 13th in scoring and 11th in defence. The Cowboys are 2-9 against Top 8 teams this year.
Stats That Matter– Sydney Roosters are 12-7 ATS with an 11-8 under record.
– The Roosters have covered five on the trot.
– North Queensland are 7-12 ATS with a 13-6 under record, going under in 8 of 9.
– The Cowboys have covered just 1 of their last 6.
– The Roosters have won 4 of the last 6 against the Cowboys, including 3 of the last 4 at Allianz.
– Four of the last five matches have failed to break 40.
– The Roosters are 26-21 ATS at Allianz with three straight covers at the ground.
– In night games at the ground, the Roosters are 16-11 ATS.
– The under is 17-8 when the Roosters are favoured by 6.5 or more at the ground.
– The Roosters have failed to cover their last four as a double digit favourite at Allianz.
– The Roosters have covered just two of their last 10 after posting 36 or more.
– The Cowboys are 27-20 ATS interstate over the last four seasons including a 16-12 ATS record as an outsider.
– Getting a start of 4.5 or more, the Cowboys are 8-5 ATS.
– The Cowboys are 18-10 ATS interstate after conceding 18 or fewer.
– The under is 35-24 since 2008 when an interstate underdog of 6.5 or more is off scoring 20-plus.
Final ThoughtsThe big line is a slight concern here, and The Wolf doesn’t want to be relying on the Cowboys at the moment against the high-flying Roosters. The unders is the betting angle that The Wolf is going with. Four of the last five matches between the Roosters and Cowboys have failed to break 40 points, while the unders is 17-8 when the Roosters are favoured by 6.5 or more at the ground.
How It Shapes UpSydney by 10

Recommended Bets
Best: Under 41.5 ($1.91)
Value: Sydney 1-12 ($2.90)
First Tryscorer: Latrell Mitchell ($8)

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