Euro 2020 Qualifiers Friday Tips: Perfect Italy a big price to win again

Dan Fitch can't see why Italy are so generously priced against Bosnia, as he previews Friday's Euro 2020 action, with six recommended bets...

Pukki still scoring for Finns

Finland 1.07 v Liechtenstein 50.00; The Draw 17.50
Kick off 17:00
Live on Sky Sports Main Event

A win for Finland against Liechtenstein will see them qualify for Euro 2020, which will be their first ever international tournament appearance.

One of the key figures in their success has been Teemu Pukki. The striker's goals might have dried up at Norwich, but he scored twice in Finland's last match against Armenia and is 3.50 to open the scoring.

Haaland can make difference for Norway

Norway 1.09 v Faroe Islands 5.00; the Draw 14.00
Kick off 17:00
Live on Sky Sports Red Button

Though it's unlikely that Norway will automatically qualify they have fared well in the extremely tough environment of Group F, with their away loss to Spain their only defeat in eight matches (P8 W2 D5 L1).

Norway are assured of a play-off place and the Red Bull Salzburg striker Erling Braut Haaland could provide them with the cutting edge that they have sometimes lacked in qualification. Haaland is 1.70 to score.

Italians big price to win ninth in a row

Bosnia 3.15 v Italy 2.36; The Draw 3.75
Kick off 19:45
Live on Sky Sports Premier League

Italy have already qualified, while Bosnia and Herzegovina are still fighting to finish second in Group J, which can be the only reason for the generous odds available for the visitors.

The Italians have won all eight of their qualifiers and their price is big enough that you can play it safe by backing them in the Draw No Bet market at 1.73.

Great Danes will win by slimmer margin

Denmark 1.01 v Gibraltar 200.00; The Draw 60.00
Kick off 19:45
Live on Sky Sports Red Button

Denmark are one of three teams separated by just one point, as they fight for two automatic qualification positions in Group D.

The Danes can go top of the group with a win over Gibraltar. They beat the group minnows 6-0 in the reverse fixture, but with that being the biggest defeat that the visitors have suffered in qualification, go for under 5.5 goals at 1.97.

Romania and Sweden will keep on scoring

Romania 2.92 v Sweden 2.64; The Draw 3.50
Kick off 19:45
Live on Sky Sports Red Button

Romania really need to beat Sweden to stand any chance of claiming the second automatic qualification spot in Group F, ideally with a clean sheet to give them a head-to-head advantage should they finish level on points.

That could be tricky against a Swedish side that have scored in seven of their eight qualifiers. With Romania scoring in all of their qualifying matches, both teams to score should land at 1.92.

Spain have not been big scorers

Spain 1.02 v Malta 140.00; The Draw 40.00
Kick off 19:45
Live on Sky Sports Football

Spain only need a point to guarantee that they win Group F, but against Malta they are essentially guaranteed to take three.

It might not be a win by a huge margin though. Spain have not scored more than four goals in any of their qualifiers and under 4.5 goals pays out at 2.38.

Swiss can keep clean sheet

Switzerland 1.16 v Georgia 27.00; The Draw 8.20
Kick off 19:45
Live on Sky Sports Red Button

Switzerland are currently third in Group D behind Denmark and the leaders Republic of Ireland who occupy the qualification positions, but with their remaining games being against Georgia and then Gibraltar, they should qualify.

The Swiss won the reverse fixture 2-0. Georgia have failed to score in four of their seven qualifiers and you can back Switzerland to win to nil at 1.57.