Canterbury Bulldogs v New Zealand Warriors
Friday, March 17, 6pm (AEDT), Forsyth Barr Stadium, Dunedin
The Bulldogs will be desperate to avoid a 0-3 start to their 2017 NRL campaign and could be rethinking their decision to move this home game to Dunedin when they take on the Warriors. It will be a reshuffled backline for the Bulldogs, with both Will Hopoate and Kerrod Holland out for extended periods. The Warriors will be sweating on the fitness of fullback Roger Tuivasa-Sheck, who left the field with concussion in the loss to the Storm.
History
The Bulldogs have won 5 of the last 6 clashes against the Warriors and have won 3 of the last 4 matches at venues in New Zealand other than Mt Smart Stadium. The Warriors won last year’s clash in Wellington 24-20. Blake Ayshford, Kerrod Holland and Sam Perrett all scored doubles.
The Bulldogs have won 5 of the last 6 clashes against the Warriors and have won 3 of the last 4 matches at venues in New Zealand other than Mt Smart Stadium. The Warriors won last year’s clash in Wellington 24-20. Blake Ayshford, Kerrod Holland and Sam Perrett all scored doubles.
Form
Canterbury have been gutsy to start the year but a 0-2 start has the proud club under pressure right out of the game. In trying conditions they lost the season opener 12-6 to Melbourne at Belmore before a 28-24 loss to the Roosters where they started fast but in the end the final score flattered them. New Zealand are 1-1 after two rounds. After a scare in Round 1 against Newcastle where a late Ryan Hoffman try saved the day, the Warriors were beaten by Melbourne at home in a game that wasn’t secured until the final 10 minutes. The Warriors have conceded 22-plus in both games this season on home turf.
Canterbury have been gutsy to start the year but a 0-2 start has the proud club under pressure right out of the game. In trying conditions they lost the season opener 12-6 to Melbourne at Belmore before a 28-24 loss to the Roosters where they started fast but in the end the final score flattered them. New Zealand are 1-1 after two rounds. After a scare in Round 1 against Newcastle where a late Ryan Hoffman try saved the day, the Warriors were beaten by Melbourne at home in a game that wasn’t secured until the final 10 minutes. The Warriors have conceded 22-plus in both games this season on home turf.
Key Matchup
Moses Mbye v Shaun Johnson. The pressure continues to build on Mbye after his disappointing start to the season. There’s no questioning his ability as a ball runner, but he needs to start directing the team around the park. Mbye isn’t in the same class as Johnson, but he is a player who he could model his game on. Johnson has made an outstanding start to his 2017 season and will be crucial in a make-or-break year for the Warriors.
Moses Mbye v Shaun Johnson. The pressure continues to build on Mbye after his disappointing start to the season. There’s no questioning his ability as a ball runner, but he needs to start directing the team around the park. Mbye isn’t in the same class as Johnson, but he is a player who he could model his game on. Johnson has made an outstanding start to his 2017 season and will be crucial in a make-or-break year for the Warriors.
Stats That Matter
Canterbury are 1-1 ATS with a 1-1 total record while New Zealand are 0-2 ATS with a 2-0 over number. The Bulldogs are 16-8 ATS on the road off a loss since 2013. Canterbury are 15-23 ATS away from ANZ since 2014 while they are 16-8 under at night when away from the venue. New Zealand have covered just 2 of their last 10 night matches away from Mt Smart. The Warriors have failed to cover their last six when favoured by 4.5 or more. Night games go under at 60% in the first four rounds since 2012.
Canterbury are 1-1 ATS with a 1-1 total record while New Zealand are 0-2 ATS with a 2-0 over number. The Bulldogs are 16-8 ATS on the road off a loss since 2013. Canterbury are 15-23 ATS away from ANZ since 2014 while they are 16-8 under at night when away from the venue. New Zealand have covered just 2 of their last 10 night matches away from Mt Smart. The Warriors have failed to cover their last six when favoured by 4.5 or more. Night games go under at 60% in the first four rounds since 2012.
Final Thoughts
The Wolf finds it difficult to trust either side here, making the Bulldogs with the start the play. The Warriors will look to throw the ball around and expose the understrength Bulldogs backs, while the Bulldogs will look to play a power game through their forwards, which is undeniably their strength. It’s a toss of the coin, but the value is around the Bulldogs.
The Wolf finds it difficult to trust either side here, making the Bulldogs with the start the play. The Warriors will look to throw the ball around and expose the understrength Bulldogs backs, while the Bulldogs will look to play a power game through their forwards, which is undeniably their strength. It’s a toss of the coin, but the value is around the Bulldogs.
How It’s Shaping Up
Canterbury by 1
Canterbury by 1
Best BetCanterbury +6 ($1.90)
Other Recommended Bets
Under 42 ($1.88)
Under 42 ($1.88)
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