European Football Tips: Six value-based wagers from across Europe

Belgium Jupiler-League
St. Truiden v Genk
Friday, February 10, 201

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.68 Draw 3.40 Away 2.86
Fair Value Odds - Home 2.86 Draw 3.60 Away 2.70

Genk scores a 6 out of 9 on our value scoring system and are trading near 1.06 % of fair value. Since the Betfair open, the bid has drifted 0.06. Genk defense is currently air tight.

Recommendation: Back Genk above fair value

Netherlands Eredivisie
Zwolle v Nijmegen
Friday, February 10, 2017

Betfair Back Odds - Home 1.86 Draw 3.80 Away 4.70
Fair Value Odds - Home 1.92 Draw 4.00 Away 4.40

Nijmegen scores a 8 out of 9 on our value scoring system and are trading near 1.07 % of fair value. Since the Betfair open, the bid has drifted 0.5. Zwolle is a very vulnerable home side with worst defense in league. Nijmegen is very attractive at this price.

Recommendation: Back Nijmegen above fair value

Germany Bundesliga
Darmstadt v Dortmund
Saturday, February 11, 2017

Betfair Back Odds - Home 9.00 Draw 5.20 Away 1.43
Betfair Lay Odds - Home 9.40 Draw 5.30 Away 1.44
Fair Value Odds - Home 15.00 Draw 5.90 Away 1.30

Dortmund scores a 7 out of 9 on our value scoring system and are trading near 1.09 % of fair value. Since the Betfair open, the bid has drifted 0.1. Offering now at 0.6 of FV, punters might consider laying Darmstadt.Should be an easy road win for Dortmund. Darmstadt outscored 21-4 in last 10 matches.

Recommendation: Back Dortmund above fair value

Italy Serie-B
Pro Vercelli v Spezia
Saturday, February 11, 2017

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.82 Draw 2.86 Away 3.10
Betfair Lay Odds - Home 2.98 Draw 2.98 Away 3.30
Fair Value Odds - Home 3.20 Draw 3.00 Away 2.80

Spezia scores a 7 out of 9 on our value scoring system and are trading near 1.1 % of fair value. Since the Betfair open, the bid has drifted 0.1. Offering now at 0.89 of FV, punters might consider laying Pro Vercelli. Spezia currently will qualify for promotion playoffs. Pro Vercelli is likely to be relegated.

Recommendation: Back Spezia above fair value

Germany Bundesliga
Schalke v Hertha Berlin
Saturday, February 11, 2017

Betfair Back Odds - Home 1.89 Draw 3.65 Away 4.90
Fair Value Odds - Home 2.00 Draw 3.75 Away 4.30

Hertha Berlin scores a 7 out of 9 on our value scoring system and are trading near 1.13 % of fair value. Since the Betfair open, the bid has drifted 0.57. Hertha Berlin is currently positioned for Europa League play next year. Although definitely superior to Schalke, Berlin is hovering around 5-1. Easy money!

Recommendation: Back Hertha Berlin above fair value

Portugal Portuguese-Liga
Setubal v Chaves
Saturday, February 11, 2017

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.36 Draw 3.10 Away 3.65
Betfair Lay Odds - Home 2.44 Draw 3.30 Away 3.80
Fair Value Odds - Home 2.72 Draw 3.15 Away 3.15