European Football Tips: Eight values opportunities gleaned from the weekend fixtures

Spain Primera-Division
Betis v Real Sociedad
Friday, March 03, 2017

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.78 Draw 3.30 Away 2.88
Betfair Lay Odds - Home 2.86 Draw 3.35 Away 2.94
Fair Value Odds - Home 3.15 Draw 3.40 Away 2.58

Real Sociedad scores a 5 out of 10 on our value scoring system and are trading near 1.12 % of fair value. Since the Betfair open, the bid has drifted 0.28. Offering now at 0.88 of FV, punters might consider laying Betis. Real Sociedad is a much better squad and actually moves up a notch on road form.

Recommendation: Back Real Sociedad above fair value

Germany Bundesliga
FC Augsburg v RB Leipzig
Friday, March 03, 2017

Betfair Back Odds - Home 4.80 Draw 3.60 Away 1.92
Betfair Lay Odds - Home 5.00 Draw 3.65 Away 1.94
Fair Value Odds - Home 3.85 Draw 3.50 Away 2.18

FC Augsburg scores a 7 out of 10 on our value scoring system and are trading near 1.24 % of fair value. Since the Betfair open, the bid has drifted 0.7. Offering now at 0.88 of FV, punters might consider laying RB Leipzig. Augsburg has some creditable recent form. Take these very attractive home odds.

Recommendation: Back FC Augsburg above fair value

Turkey Super Lig
Trabzonspor v Kardemir Karabuk
Friday, March 03, 2017

Betfair Back Odds - Home 1.81 Draw 3.85 Away 5.00
Fair Value Odds - Home 1.98 Draw 3.65 Away 4.50

Kardemir Karabuk scores a 8 out of 10 on our value scoring system and are trading near 1.11 % of fair value. Since the Betfair open, the bid has drifted 0.5. Ah yes, The Blue Flame of Karabuk facing a tough match on the road, but undefeated in last 5 games they merit a wager at long odds.

Recommendation: Back Kardemir Karabuk above fair value

Germany 2-Bundesliga
Union Berlin v Wurzburger Kickers
Friday, March 03, 2017

Betfair Back Odds - Home 1.94 Draw 3.45 Away 4.80
Fair Value Odds - Home 2.12 Draw 3.45 Away 4.10

Wurzburger Kickers scores a 7 out of 10 on our value scoring system and are trading near 1.15 % of fair value. Since the Betfair open, the bid has drifted 0.7.Recent form would advocate for Union Berlin over slumping Kickers. However, in search of value lets play Wurzburger in the hopes of a resurgence.

Recommendation: Back Wurzburger Kickers above fair value

Italy Serie-B
Avellino v Perugia
Saturday, March 04, 2017

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.34 Draw 3.45 Away 3.35
Betfair Lay Odds - Home 2.36 Draw 3.60 Away 3.50
Fair Value Odds - Home 2.98 Draw 3.15 Away 2.90

Perugia scores a 7 out of 10 on our value scoring system and are trading near 1.16 % of fair value. Since the Betfair open, the bid has drifted 0.25. Offering now at 0.79 of FV, punters might consider laying Avellino. Although close in Serie B table, striking goal difference Avellino is -5 and Perugia is +6. Perugia is well regarded on road.

Recommendation: Back Perugia above fair value

England League-One
Rochdale v Sheffield Utd
Saturday, March 04, 2017

Betfair Back Odds - Home 4.80 Draw 3.75 Away 1.83
Fair Value Odds - Home 4.50 Draw 3.80 Away 1.95

Rochdale scores a 10 out of 10 on our value scoring system and are trading near 1.07 % of fair value. Since the Betfair open, the bid has drifted 0.6. Important match for Rochdale stay within playoff reach. A +15 goal difference at home augurs well for their chances against rampaging United squad.

Recommendation: Back Rochdale above fair value

Italy Serie-A
Sampdoria v Pescara
Saturday, March 04, 2017

Betfair Back Odds - Home 1.68 Draw 4.40 Away 5.40
Betfair Lay Odds - Home 1.70 Draw 4.50 Away 5.60
Fair Value Odds - Home 1.58 Draw 4.70 Away [6.5]

Sampdoria scores a 9 out of 10 on our value scoring system and are trading near 1.06 % of fair value. Since the Betfair open, the bid has drifted 0.08. Offering now at 0.83 of FV, punters might consider laying Pescara. Lowly Pescara, facing certain relegation, don't stand much chance here against in-form Sampdoria.

Recommendation: Back Sampdoria above fair value

England League-One
Swindon v Chesterfield
Saturday, March 04, 2017

Betfair Back Odds - Home 1.85 Draw 3.70 Away 4.90
Betfair Lay Odds - Home 1.90 Draw 3.95 Away 5.20
Fair Value Odds - Home 2.10 Draw 3.70 Away 4.00