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Canberra Raiders v Parramatta Eels

Saturday, April 1, 5:30pm (AEDT), GIO Stadium, Canberra




The Raiders have been better than their 1-3 record suggests, with narrow losses to both the Cowboys and Broncos. They put 46 points past the Tigers in their last match at GIO and will be looking to make it seven-straight wins over the Eels in Canberra.
History
The Raiders have won 7 of their last 9 against the Eels as well as six straight at Canberra Stadium with five of those wins by double digits. Both teams shared the spoils in 2016, with the Eels winning the Round 6 clash 36-6, while the Raiders bounced back at home in Round 24, defeating the Eels 28-18. Former Raider Brenko Lee scored 4 tries in the Round 24 victory.
Form
Canberra are just 1-3 but have been better than their record suggests with a golden point loss at North Queensland and a one-point loss at Brisbane in their defeats. The Raiders were poor with the ball in hand against the Broncos but they tried hard in defence, conceding just 13 points. The Eels’ season opened with two wins but back-to-back losses at the Gold Coast and at home to Cronulla have been a steadier. The Eels have conceded 20-plus in each of their last two.
Key Matchup
Jordan Rapana v Semi Radradra. Rapana has made a strong start to the season, with four tries and 23 tackle-breaks across the first five rounds. Radradra scored four tries in the Round 2 win over the Dragons and 11 tackle-breaks for the season. What a match-up!
Stats That Matter
Canberra are 3-1 ATS with a 2-2 total record while Parramatta are 2-2 ATS with a 3-1 under record. The Raiders have won 7 of their last 9 against the Eels as well as six straight at Canberra Stadium with five of those wins by double digits. The last four matches between the sides have topped 42 points. Canberra are 6-1 over at home off a loss. Parramatta have covered just 3 of their last 9 away from Parramatta Stadium.
Final Thoughts
The Raiders should be going better than 1-3, but their strength of opponent in the losses doesn’t get much tougher than the Sharks, Cowboys and Broncos. As already pointed out, they’ve won six-straight over the Eels in Canberra and will be desperate to get their season going here.
How It’s Shaping Up
Canberra by 12
Best Bet
Over 43.5 ($1.88)

Other Recommended Bets
Canberra -8 ($1.90)

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