Melbourne Storm v New Zealand Warriors
Tuesday, April 25, 7pm (AEST), AAMI Park, Melbourne
The Storm got the job done at Brookvale last week, but you can guarantee that coach Craig Bellamy would be furious about the 26 points conceded. The Warriors have endured a tricky fortnight with away trips to Canberra and the upcoming match in Melbourne. The Storm are starting to get back to full-strength minus Tohu Harris and will be difficult to beat back at home.
History
The Storm have won three straight and 7 of their last 10 against New Zealand including a 26-10 in Auckland earlier this season. The Storm have won 4 of the last 5 against the Warriors in Melbourne by double digits.
The Storm have won three straight and 7 of their last 10 against New Zealand including a 26-10 in Auckland earlier this season. The Storm have won 4 of the last 5 against the Warriors in Melbourne by double digits.
Form
Melbourne sit second on the ladder with a 6-1 record though they rank fourth in differential. Their defence remains top in the NRL despite conceding 26 points in their last clash against Manly. Previously the Storm had not conceded more than 14 points in a match. New Zealand have been much-improved since Kieran Foran’s return, winning two of their last three, but went down 20-8 in Canberra in their last clash. The Warriors have scored more than 22 points in just one of their last six.
Melbourne sit second on the ladder with a 6-1 record though they rank fourth in differential. Their defence remains top in the NRL despite conceding 26 points in their last clash against Manly. Previously the Storm had not conceded more than 14 points in a match. New Zealand have been much-improved since Kieran Foran’s return, winning two of their last three, but went down 20-8 in Canberra in their last clash. The Warriors have scored more than 22 points in just one of their last six.
Key Matchup
Billy Slater v Roger Tuivasa-Sheck. Slater had his best game in a Storm jersey since his return from injury in the win over the Sea Eagles. He had a hand in three of the Storm’s six tries. It’s the confidence boost “Billy The Kid” needed to prove the critics that his best isn’t behind him. Roger Tuivasa-Sheck is slowly working back to form, with four line-breaks in seven of the Warriors matches this season. The spine of RTS, Foran, Johnsons and Luke is starting to click and the best of RTS is still to come.
Billy Slater v Roger Tuivasa-Sheck. Slater had his best game in a Storm jersey since his return from injury in the win over the Sea Eagles. He had a hand in three of the Storm’s six tries. It’s the confidence boost “Billy The Kid” needed to prove the critics that his best isn’t behind him. Roger Tuivasa-Sheck is slowly working back to form, with four line-breaks in seven of the Warriors matches this season. The spine of RTS, Foran, Johnsons and Luke is starting to click and the best of RTS is still to come.
Stats That Matter
Melbourne are 4-3 ATS with a 5-2 under record while New Zealand are 1-6 ATS with a 4-3 under number. The Storm have won three straight and 7 of their last 10 against New Zealand including a 26-10 in Auckland earlier this season. The Storm have won 4 of the last 5 against the Warriors in Melbourne by double digits. The Storm have scored 21-plus in 8 of their last 10 against the Warriors. The Warriors have covered just 1 of their last 11 games and 4 of their last 11 away from Mt Smart Stadium.
Melbourne are 4-3 ATS with a 5-2 under record while New Zealand are 1-6 ATS with a 4-3 under number. The Storm have won three straight and 7 of their last 10 against New Zealand including a 26-10 in Auckland earlier this season. The Storm have won 4 of the last 5 against the Warriors in Melbourne by double digits. The Storm have scored 21-plus in 8 of their last 10 against the Warriors. The Warriors have covered just 1 of their last 11 games and 4 of their last 11 away from Mt Smart Stadium.
Final Thoughts
The Storm have a strong record against the Warriors in Melbourne and won’t leak points like they did last week at Brookvale. The Warriors are horrible away from NZ and The Wolf won’t be trusting them here.
The Storm have a strong record against the Warriors in Melbourne and won’t leak points like they did last week at Brookvale. The Warriors are horrible away from NZ and The Wolf won’t be trusting them here.
How It’s Shaping Up
Melbourne Storm by 14
Melbourne Storm by 14
Best Bet
Melbourne Storm -9.5 ($1.91)
Melbourne Storm -9.5 ($1.91)
Other Recommended Bets
Over 36.5 ($1.88)
Over 36.5 ($1.88)
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