Carlton v GWS
Sunday 3:20pm at Etihad Stadium

Struggling Carlton face a monumental task of toppling the all-conquering Greater Western Sydney who sit atop the ladder.
Carlton have lost three on end and have fallen to second last on the ladder with a poor 3-7 record. The Blues are averaging a lowly 72.8 points per game while their 12th-ranked defence is hardly setting the world on fire. The Blues have lost just one of their last nine matches by more than 39 points.
Greater Western Sydney have moved to the top of the ladder with a 9-2 record. They have won four on end, two of those coming against Top 8 opposition. The last five Giants wins have all come by margins of 16 or fewer. The Giants are 2-2 interstate this year. GWS ranks fourth in attack and sixth in defence.
Stats That Matter
– The Giants have won the last four against the Blues, posting 127-plus in the last three.
– The last three Blues-Giants games have gone over the total.
– Carlton are 25-19 ATS at Etihad since 2012.
– The Blues are 11-7 ATS as an underdog of 12.5 or more.
– The Giants are 6-9 ATS all-time at Etihad.
– Carlton are 13-8 ATS with a 14-7 under record after scoring 95.
– The Blues are 22-7 ATS as an underdog in day matches.
– The Giants have covered 7 of their last 11 as an interstate team.
– GWS are 7-8 ATS as an interstate favourite of more than two goals.
Betting Data
2017 Line: Carlton 6-4, Greater Western Sydney 5-6
2017 Over-Under: Carlton 5-5, Greater Western Sydney 7-4
What To Expect
Carlton are the best bet of Round 12. The Blues as an underdog in day matches are just money, covering 76 per cent of the time. The Blues are a real cover machines at Etihad and have hardly turned in a stinker all year while the Giants have been falling over the line a lot lately. Their interstate record is hardly inspiring. The big start is good.
How It’s Shaping Up
Greater Western Sydney by 10
Recommended Bet
Carlton +33.5 ($1.91)
Player Markets
Bryce Gibbs has been an absolute monster in his last two with 133 and 145. He is averaging 111 this year. The price seems silly.
Recommended Bet
Bryce Gibbs 110+ Fantasy Points ($2.15) 

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