Thursday 8:10pm at Domain Stadium
The shortened Round 13 kicks off with Geelong travelling west to Perth to take on an Eagles team that has dropped out of the Top 8.
Form
West Coast have fallen outside the Top 8, down to ninth on the ladder with a 6-5 record following three straight defeats, the last two by single digits. It is the first time West Coast have lost three straight since 2014. The Eagles rank a middling 10th in attack and seventh in defence. West Coast have kicked 100 points just once since Round 2.
West Coast have fallen outside the Top 8, down to ninth on the ladder with a 6-5 record following three straight defeats, the last two by single digits. It is the first time West Coast have lost three straight since 2014. The Eagles rank a middling 10th in attack and seventh in defence. West Coast have kicked 100 points just once since Round 2.
Geelong are entrenched in the Top 4 with an 8-3 record. The Cats were highly impressive leading into the bye with three straight wins against Top 8 teams. Geelong have not conceded more than 81 points in their last three. Geelong rank third in attack and 10th in defence. The Cats have kicked over 100 just once in their last five.
Stats That Matter
– Geelong have won 10 of the last 13 against West Coast.
– West Coast have won 3 of the last 4 matchups in Perth
– The Eagles have covered just 2 of their last 6 at Subiaco.
– West Coast are 4-11 ATS as an underdog at Subiaco since 2012.
– The over is 10-5 at Subiaco when West Coast are an underdog.
– Geelong have covered just 2 of 7 at Subiaco since 2012.
– The Cats are 12-17 ATS interstate since 2012 but have covered 6 of their last 9.
– Geelong are 7-13 ATS as an interstate favourite and 2-4 ATS as an interstate favourite of less than two goals.
– The Cats are 3-10 ATS as an interstate favourite after scoring more than 95 points.
– West Coast have covered 13 of their last 18 after scoring fewer than 80 points.
– The under is 40-22 when the home team loses but concedes 80 or fewer points.
– West Coast have won 3 of the last 4 matchups in Perth
– The Eagles have covered just 2 of their last 6 at Subiaco.
– West Coast are 4-11 ATS as an underdog at Subiaco since 2012.
– The over is 10-5 at Subiaco when West Coast are an underdog.
– Geelong have covered just 2 of 7 at Subiaco since 2012.
– The Cats are 12-17 ATS interstate since 2012 but have covered 6 of their last 9.
– Geelong are 7-13 ATS as an interstate favourite and 2-4 ATS as an interstate favourite of less than two goals.
– The Cats are 3-10 ATS as an interstate favourite after scoring more than 95 points.
– West Coast have covered 13 of their last 18 after scoring fewer than 80 points.
– The under is 40-22 when the home team loses but concedes 80 or fewer points.
Betting Data
2017 Line: Geelong 6-5, West Coast 4-7
2017 Over-Under: Geelong 7-4, West Coast 5-6
2017 Line: Geelong 6-5, West Coast 4-7
2017 Over-Under: Geelong 7-4, West Coast 5-6
What To Expect
West Coast look the bet in a cracking opener to Round 13. The Eagles don’t have a great record as a home underdog but tend to bounce back after a poor attacking performance. Geelong are poor as an interstate favourite and don’t have a good record at Subiaco. The bye should reset things for the Eagles and they can collect the points.
West Coast look the bet in a cracking opener to Round 13. The Eagles don’t have a great record as a home underdog but tend to bounce back after a poor attacking performance. Geelong are poor as an interstate favourite and don’t have a good record at Subiaco. The bye should reset things for the Eagles and they can collect the points.
How It’s Shaping Up
West Coast by 10
West Coast by 10
Recommended Bet
West Coast +3.5 ($1.91)
West Coast +3.5 ($1.91)
Player Markets
Luke Shuey should have no issues getting to 110 points, a number he has hit in 5 of the last 7 weeks. Shuey is extremely consistent with 4 of his last 6 scores between 110 and 119.
Recommended BetLuke Shuey should have no issues getting to 110 points, a number he has hit in 5 of the last 7 weeks. Shuey is extremely consistent with 4 of his last 6 scores between 110 and 119.
Luke Shuey 110+ Fantasy Points ($1.52)
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