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South Sydney Rabbitohs v Gold Coast Titans

Friday, June 16, 7:50pm (AEST), ANZ Stadium, Sydney

The Rabbitohs and Titans kick off a disrupted Round 15 due to State of Origin 2 and it’s the Titans who have been hardest hit. Jarryd Hayne and Nathan Peats are unavailable on NSW duty, while Jarrod Wallace will miss the match either through suspension or QLD Origin selection. Konrad Hurell and Kane Elgey are under injury clouds, but the Titans do get a boost with the return of Kevin Proctor from a club-enforced suspension. The Rabbitohs side is expected to be unchanged from the side that was gallant in last week’s loss to the Broncos.
The Rabbitohs have won 8 of the 14 matches all-time but the Titans have won 2 of the last 3. The Titans won a thriller 29-28 in Perth last season, with Titans prop Ryan James scoring a double.
South Sydney are 14th on the ladder with a 4-9 record and enter this off a 24-18 loss to Brisbane at Suncorp. The Rabbitohs have won just 2 of their last 10 matches and are 1-5 at ANZ this season. Souths have conceded at least 18 points in 11 of 13 matches this season. Gold Coast have dropped three on the trot and have failed to surpass more than 12 points in those three defeats. The Titans have conceded 30-plus in 3 of their last 4 and in an astonishing 7 of 13 clashes in 2017.
Key Matchup
Adam Reynolds v Ashley Taylor. It’s been a disappointing season to date by Reynolds and he’s hardly given the NSW Origin selectors an headaches at the selection table. It’s no surprise to see Reynolds’ slump coincide with the Rabbitohs 14th position on the NRL ladder. Reynolds needs to guide the Bunnies to a win here. Meanwhile, Taylor is an exciting talent who will play representative football not too long down the track. It will be a big test for him this week as the Titans will field a makeshift squad around him. Taylor has 19 try-assists for the season and will be the focal point of the Titans attack, with halves partner Kane Elgey in doubt for the clash against the Rabbitohs.
Stats That Matter

  • South Sydney are 7-6 ATS with a 7-6 under record while Gold Coast are 6-7 ATS with a 10-3 over number.
  • Souths have won 8 of the 14 matches all-time but the Titans have won 2 of the last 3.
  • Gold Coast have won 3 of the last 4 matches played in Sydney.
  • The Titans are an outstanding bet as an interstate team: Since 2013 they are 32-14 ATS interstate with a 65% POT in head-to-head betting.
  • As an interstate outsider of 6 or more the Titans are 22-10 ATS and have covered 8 of their last 10 including all three this year.
  • Souths are 22-32 ATS at ANZ since 2013, covering just 5 of their last 16 at the ground.
  • As a favourite the Rabbitohs have covered just 4 of their last 14 at ANZ while they have covered just 4 of their last 12 as a favourite of more than a try.
  • Souths have covered just 3 of their last 10 after conceding more than 24.
  • The Titans are 17-6 ATS after being held to 12 points or fewer since 2013.
Final Thoughts
The Rabbitohs appear the safer play in this one with the more settled line-up, but the gritty Titans do have a habit of staying in matches, forgiving last week’s blowout loss against the Warriors. The Titans have a great record ATS as an interstate outsider of 6 or more and The Wolf recommends taking the Rabbitohs 1-12 here.
How It’s Shaping Up
Souths by 6
Best Bet
South Sydney 1-12 ($3.05)
Other Recommended Bets
Other: Over 40.5 ($1.88)

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