Gold Coast v Carlton
Saturday 7:25pm at Metricon Stadium



Both entrenched in the bottom third of the ladder, Gold Coast and Carlton know how critical this match is to the fading finals hopes of each team.
Form
Gold Coast are up to 13th on the ladder following back-to-back wins over West Coast and Hawthorn. The Suns have kept teams to below 80 points just three times this year but twice have been their last two matches. Gold Coast rank eighth in scoring but have the second worst defence. Gold Coast have won 3 of their last 4 at Metricon.
Carlton are 16th on the ladder with a 4-7 record. Carlton stunned GWS last round as huge underdogs to win by 1-point. Prior to that they had dropped their last three. The Blues have not scored more than 97 points all season. Their two interstate games this season have resulted in losses of 35 and 90 points.
Stats That Matter
– Gold Coast have won their last two against Carlton and are 3-4 all-time.
– The under has hit in 4 of the last 6 between the Suns and Blues.
– Gold Coast are 10-7 ATS when Gold Coast are favoured at Metricon Stadium.
– The over is 13-4 when the Suns are favoured at Metricon.
– The Suns are 5-8 ATS at Metricon off a win.
– Carlton are 3-7 ATS interstate off a win.
– The Blues are 6-9 ATS interstate as an underdog of 18 or more.
– The under is 11-4 when the Blues are an interstate underdog of 18 or more.
– Carlton are 22-36 ATS in night matches since 2012.
Betting Data
2017 Line: Gold Coast 6-5, Carlton 7-4
2017 Over-Under: Gold Coast 7-4, Carlton 5-6
What To Expect
The Suns seem good things to win and cover against the Blues in a rather uninspiring Saturday night affair. Carlton struggle interstate and are a very different team at night than they are in day games. The Suns get the job done as a favourite at home and in their current form they should do again.
How It’s Shaping Up
Gold Coast by 33
Recommended Bet
Gold Coast -19.5 ($1.91)
Player Markets
Gary Ablett is averaging 120.8 this year and enters this off posting 153 against Hawthorn. Ablett has hut 117 or more in 7 of his last 8.
Recommended Bet
Gary Ablett 120+ Fantasy Points ($1.65)

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