Friday 7:50pm at Etihad Stadium
Both North and Saints have fallen off the pace of a finals run and need desperately to win this compelling Friday night affair.
Form
North Melbourne found some form before their bye with four wins in their last six matches. Their last match prior to the bye was a disappointing 35-point loss to Richmond. The Kangaroos have kicked 100 points in four of their last six. North rank sixth in points scored but have the fourth-worst defence in the AFL.
North Melbourne found some form before their bye with four wins in their last six matches. Their last match prior to the bye was a disappointing 35-point loss to Richmond. The Kangaroos have kicked 100 points in four of their last six. North rank sixth in points scored but have the fourth-worst defence in the AFL.
St Kilda have been in freefall and are down to 12th on the ladder following three straight defeats. The Saints have not managed to post more than 68 points in any of those three losses to Sydney, the Bulldogs or Adelaide. St Kilda rank 11th in both attack and defence. The Saints have not finished within 40 in their last three.
Stats That Matter
– North have won the last six matches against St Kilda with five of those being by margins of 23 or greater.
– North have covered 5 of the last 6 against the Saints.
– North have covered just 2 of their last 9 at Etihad.
– St Kilda have covered just 3 of their last 11 at Etihad.
– The Saints have covered just 1 of their last 5 at Etihad as a favourite.
– North have covered just 5 of their last 13 as an underdog at Etihad.
– Since 2012, North are 22-13 ATS as an underdog in Melbourne but are 3-7 ATS when favoured by a goal or less.
– The Saints have covered 6 of their last 9 when favoured by fewer than two goals in Melbourne.
– The over is 31-20 when a small home favourite scored 70 or fewer the game prior.
– North have covered 5 of the last 6 against the Saints.
– North have covered just 2 of their last 9 at Etihad.
– St Kilda have covered just 3 of their last 11 at Etihad.
– The Saints have covered just 1 of their last 5 at Etihad as a favourite.
– North have covered just 5 of their last 13 as an underdog at Etihad.
– Since 2012, North are 22-13 ATS as an underdog in Melbourne but are 3-7 ATS when favoured by a goal or less.
– The Saints have covered 6 of their last 9 when favoured by fewer than two goals in Melbourne.
– The over is 31-20 when a small home favourite scored 70 or fewer the game prior.
Betting Data
2017 Line: North Melbourne 5-6, St Kilda 4-7
2017 Over-Under: North Melbourne 7-4, St Kilda 5-6
2017 Line: North Melbourne 5-6, St Kilda 4-7
2017 Over-Under: North Melbourne 7-4, St Kilda 5-6
What To Expect
Brutal game here for punters. North are the tip based purely on their recent history of dominance against the Saints and the extra week they have had to prepare for this. Not many compelling angles either way in this though.
Brutal game here for punters. North are the tip based purely on their recent history of dominance against the Saints and the extra week they have had to prepare for this. Not many compelling angles either way in this though.
How It’s Shaping Up
North Melbourne by 1
North Melbourne by 1
Recommended Bet
North Melbourne +1.5 ($1.91)
North Melbourne +1.5 ($1.91)
Player Markets
The best bet in this match by far is Seb Ross to pick up 110 fantasy points. He has done so in 6 of his last 8 with one of the failures 107. He is ultra-reliable.
Recommended BetThe best bet in this match by far is Seb Ross to pick up 110 fantasy points. He has done so in 6 of his last 8 with one of the failures 107. He is ultra-reliable.
Seb Ross 110+ Fantasy Points ($1.90)
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