Saturday 4:35pm at Gabba
Last-placed Brisbane are in desperate need of a win and are hoping Fremantle have one of their off days as the inconsistent Dockers visit Queensland.
Form
Brisbane’s season has been a total debacle following their surprise Round 1 win over Gold Coast with nine straight losses, all by margins of 27 or more. The Lions have conceded at least 107 points in all those losses and have conceded 129-plus in 4 of their last 5. The Lions have the worst defence and the third-worst attack in the AFL.
Brisbane’s season has been a total debacle following their surprise Round 1 win over Gold Coast with nine straight losses, all by margins of 27 or more. The Lions have conceded at least 107 points in all those losses and have conceded 129-plus in 4 of their last 5. The Lions have the worst defence and the third-worst attack in the AFL.
Fremantle are eighth on the ladder with a 6-5 record, remarkable in the fact they have the second worst attack and the 13th rated defence. The Dockers have dropped their last two after winning six of seven. They have been held below 90 points in all bar two games this year. The Dockers are 2-2 interstate this year.
Stats That Matter
– The Dockers have won nine straight against the Lions with the last five all being by 36 or more.
– Fremantle have covered 3 of the last 4 against Brisbane including both Gabba games.
– The under has hit in 5 of the last 6 Lions-Dockers clashes.
– The Lions have covered just 1 of their last 10 at the Gabba.
– Brisbane have covered just 2 of their last 10 at the Gabba when an outsider of fewer than four goals.
– The over is 21-13 when the Lions play at the Gabba off a loss of 30-plus.
– Fremantle have covered just 2 of their last 8 interstate games.
– The Dockers are 13-7 ATS as an interstate favourite since 2012.
– Fremantle are 11-6 ATS off a loss interstate.
– The Dockers are 12-17 ATS after conceding 100 points.
– Fremantle have covered 3 of the last 4 against Brisbane including both Gabba games.
– The under has hit in 5 of the last 6 Lions-Dockers clashes.
– The Lions have covered just 1 of their last 10 at the Gabba.
– Brisbane have covered just 2 of their last 10 at the Gabba when an outsider of fewer than four goals.
– The over is 21-13 when the Lions play at the Gabba off a loss of 30-plus.
– Fremantle have covered just 2 of their last 8 interstate games.
– The Dockers are 13-7 ATS as an interstate favourite since 2012.
– Fremantle are 11-6 ATS off a loss interstate.
– The Dockers are 12-17 ATS after conceding 100 points.
Betting Data
2017 Line: Brisbane 5-5, Fremantle 5-6
2017 Over-Under: Brisbane 5-5, Fremantle 6-5
2017 Line: Brisbane 5-5, Fremantle 5-6
2017 Over-Under: Brisbane 5-5, Fremantle 6-5
What To Expect
It is hard to get too excited by either of these teams making it surprising that the Dockers are the play as a big interstate favourite but he we are. The Lions are a filthy mess this year and a line of 20.5 after losing nine straight by 27-plus seems more than a little skinny. Fremantle are good when favoured interstate by over two goals and should make the nut in this game.
It is hard to get too excited by either of these teams making it surprising that the Dockers are the play as a big interstate favourite but he we are. The Lions are a filthy mess this year and a line of 20.5 after losing nine straight by 27-plus seems more than a little skinny. Fremantle are good when favoured interstate by over two goals and should make the nut in this game.
How It’s Shaping Up
Fremantle by 28
Fremantle by 28
Recommended Bet
Fremantle -18.5 ($1.91)
Fremantle -18.5 ($1.91)
Player Markets
Dayne Zorko has been a fantasy fillup all year despite the Lions being awful. He has hit 118-plus in 6 of his last 8. Should see plenty of it.
Recommended Bet
Dayne Zorko 120+ Fantasy Points ($1.90)
Dayne Zorko has been a fantasy fillup all year despite the Lions being awful. He has hit 118-plus in 6 of his last 8. Should see plenty of it.
Recommended Bet
Dayne Zorko 120+ Fantasy Points ($1.90)
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