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Penrith Panthers v Canberra Raiders

Saturday, June 10, 5:30pm (AEST), Carrington Park, Bathurst

This shapes up as a crucial match for both sides as they both sit one win outside the Top 8 on 12 competition points. The Raiders are coming off another heart-breaking loss to the Sea Eagles for a second time this year, while the Panthers shutout the Bulldogs 38-0 last week. The Raiders will be without Shannon Boyd and Dunamis Lui, who both picked up injuries in the loss to the Sea Eagles. Luke Bateman and Royce Hunt both come into the side.
The Raiders have won four of the last five against the Panthers including the elimination final last season. The Panthers won last year’s clash at Carrington Park 19-18, with Peter Wallace kicking the match-winning field-goal. Jordan Rapana scored a double in a losing side.
Penrith won just two of their first nine games but have found some form since with three straight wins against New Zealand, Newcastle and Canterbury where they have averaged 34.67 points per game. They enter this off a shutout against Canterbury after conceding at least 18 in seven straight. Canberra are now outside the Top 8 and looking in. They have won just two of their last six with those wins against Parramatta and an understrength Roosters. Canberra have scored 20-plus in four straight. They are 2-5 away from Canberra Stadium.
Key Matchup
Josh Mansour v Jordan Rapana. Mansour made his long awaited return from an ACL injury in the Panthers win over the Bulldogs and didn’t miss a beat, running for over 200 metres and scoring a try in his return. Rapana had an outstanding game against the Sea Eagles, running for 243 metres, making three line-breaks and scoring two tries. He scored two tries in the last clash against the Panthers in Bathurst and will be looking forward to the challenge against Mansour.
Stats That Matter

  • Penrith are 4-8 ATS with a 7-5 under record while Canberra are 7-6 ATS with an 8-5 under number.
  • Canberra have won four of the last five against Penrith including the elimination final last season.
  • Penrith won the only clash played in Bathurst 19-18.
  • All three regular season games played in Bathurst have gone under the total with Penrith covering just 1 of 3.
  • The Panthers are 4-9 ATS since the start of 2015 as a favourite of less than a try.
  • The Panthers have covered just 6 of their last 18 night/twilight games.
  • Canberra have covered 13 of 17 night/twilight games.
  • Canberra are 21-9 ATS as a road outsider and have covered seven straight.
  • The Raiders are 12-3 ATS as a road underdog off a loss.
Final Thoughts
The Wolf isn’t reading too much into the Panthers big win over the Bulldogs last week as the effort by the Bulldogs would have seen them beaten by most sides in NSW Cup. The Raiders have a good recent record over the Panthers and look to have more strikepower in their backline. There was a field goal between these sides last time in Bathurst and The Wolf is expecting another close one here.
How It’s Shaping Up
Canberra by 2
Best Bet
Canberra +1.5 ($1.91)
Other Recommended Bets
Canberra 1-12 ($3.30)

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