Friday 7:20pm at Adelaide Oval
Adelaide host St Kilda in a compelling Friday Night Football that sees the Crows fighting to win back top spot and the Saints looking to get back inside the Top 8.
Form
Adelaide have fallen from top spot after a loss in Geelong last week, second with their 8-3 record. The Crows have won just two of their last five contests, being held to sub-90 in those three defeats. Adelaide still rank top in attack averaging 119.5 points per game while their defence rates fifth conceding 86.5 points.
Adelaide have fallen from top spot after a loss in Geelong last week, second with their 8-3 record. The Crows have won just two of their last five contests, being held to sub-90 in those three defeats. Adelaide still rank top in attack averaging 119.5 points per game while their defence rates fifth conceding 86.5 points.
St Kilda are down to 11th on the ladder following back-to-back losses to Sydney and the Western Bulldogs. The Saints now have a 5-5 record. St Kilda have kicked 85 points or fewer in their last three. The Saints rank 11th in both attack and defence. St Kilda are 1-1 interstate this year.
Stats That Matter
– The Crows have won six straight and eight of their last nine against the Saints.
– Adelaide have covered the last five games against St Kilda dating back to 2013, favoured by at least five goals in the last three.
– Adelaide are 27-15 ATS at Adelaide Oval, including an 11-7 ATS record when favoured by more than five goals.
– The over is 13-8 when the Crows are favoured by more than four goals at Adelaide Oval.
– The Crows are 12-6 ATS at Adelaide Oval off a loss.
– St Kilda have covered just 5 of their last 18 interstate games.
– Since 2012 St Kilda are 13-6 over interstate off a loss.
– The Saints have won just 1 of 19 interstate matches as an underdog of 24 or more with a 8-11 ATS record.
– St Kilda are 14-9 ATS after being held to 60 or fewer points.
– Adelaide have covered the last five games against St Kilda dating back to 2013, favoured by at least five goals in the last three.
– Adelaide are 27-15 ATS at Adelaide Oval, including an 11-7 ATS record when favoured by more than five goals.
– The over is 13-8 when the Crows are favoured by more than four goals at Adelaide Oval.
– The Crows are 12-6 ATS at Adelaide Oval off a loss.
– St Kilda have covered just 5 of their last 18 interstate games.
– Since 2012 St Kilda are 13-6 over interstate off a loss.
– The Saints have won just 1 of 19 interstate matches as an underdog of 24 or more with a 8-11 ATS record.
– St Kilda are 14-9 ATS after being held to 60 or fewer points.
Betting Data
2017 Line: Adelaide 8-3, St Kilda 4-6
2017 Over-Under: Adelaide 6-5, St Kilda 5-5
2017 Line: Adelaide 8-3, St Kilda 4-6
2017 Over-Under: Adelaide 6-5, St Kilda 5-5
What To Expect
The Crows should have few problems putting the Saints to the sword here. Adelaide are so reliable as a big favourite at home and with St Kilda’s terrible interstate record, the Crows are certainly a bet. Adelaide can score at will when they are on and that could tear open a Saints defence that ranks in the bottom half of the league.
The Crows should have few problems putting the Saints to the sword here. Adelaide are so reliable as a big favourite at home and with St Kilda’s terrible interstate record, the Crows are certainly a bet. Adelaide can score at will when they are on and that could tear open a Saints defence that ranks in the bottom half of the league.
How It’s Shaping Up
Adelaide by 53
Adelaide by 53
Recommended Bet
Adelaide -36.5 ($1.91)
Adelaide -36.5 ($1.91)
Player Markets
Rory Laird has been quiet the last two games but prior had been in strong fantasy form with scores of 110-plus in five of six. Had 30 touches and eight marks when he last met St Kilda.
Recommended BetRory Laird has been quiet the last two games but prior had been in strong fantasy form with scores of 110-plus in five of six. Had 30 touches and eight marks when he last met St Kilda.
Rory Laird 110+ Fantasy Points ($2.25)
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