Sydney v Western Bulldogs
Thursday 7:20pm at SCG
Thursday 7:20pm at SCG
Sydney’s hopes of a second-half push face a tough hurdle when premiers the Western Bulldogs come to town.
Form
Sydney are 16th on the ladder with just three wins from their 10 games this season. There is hope for the Swans though with Sydney ranking ninth in both attack and defence. They had put together three wins on end before a bad home loss to Hawthorn in a game they were heavily favoured in that left a sour taste before the bye.
Sydney are 16th on the ladder with just three wins from their 10 games this season. There is hope for the Swans though with Sydney ranking ninth in both attack and defence. They had put together three wins on end before a bad home loss to Hawthorn in a game they were heavily favoured in that left a sour taste before the bye.
The Western Bulldogs are down to sixth with a 6-4 record with just two wins in their last five meetings leading into the bye. The Bulldogs have not surpassed 90 in their last five games though they have conceded over 90 just once this year. The premiers are an excellent third in defence conceding 81.1ppg but rank a lowly 14th in attack.
Stats That Matter
– The Western Bulldogs have won the last four contests against Sydney including the last two at the SCG.
– The Bulldogs have covered 5 of the last 6 against Sydney.
– The under has hit in 7 of the last 8 Swans SCG games where they are favoured by fewer than three goals.
– Sydney have covered just 4 of their last 11 as a favourite at the SCG off a loss.
– The Bulldogs are 22-13 under since 2012.
– The under is 5-1 when the Bulldogs are interstate off a win of four or more goals.
– The Bulldogs have covered 13 of 18 when an underdog of 12 or less.
– The Bulldogs have covered 5 of the last 6 against Sydney.
– The under has hit in 7 of the last 8 Swans SCG games where they are favoured by fewer than three goals.
– Sydney have covered just 4 of their last 11 as a favourite at the SCG off a loss.
– The Bulldogs are 22-13 under since 2012.
– The under is 5-1 when the Bulldogs are interstate off a win of four or more goals.
– The Bulldogs have covered 13 of 18 when an underdog of 12 or less.
Betting Data
2017 Line: Sydney 3-7. Western Bulldogs 4-6
2017 Over-Under: Sydney 6-4, Western Bulldogs 4-6
2017 Line: Sydney 3-7. Western Bulldogs 4-6
2017 Over-Under: Sydney 6-4, Western Bulldogs 4-6
What To Expect
There are not a lot of big angles at play here but all the angles that are push hard for the under. The Bulldogs have been defensive behemoths this year and it is hard to see the spluttering Sydney attack breaking it down. The Bulldogs tend to shut down interstate and that is what they will be doing here. A real grinder is on the cards.
There are not a lot of big angles at play here but all the angles that are push hard for the under. The Bulldogs have been defensive behemoths this year and it is hard to see the spluttering Sydney attack breaking it down. The Bulldogs tend to shut down interstate and that is what they will be doing here. A real grinder is on the cards.
How It’s Shaping Up
Western Bulldogs by 4
Western Bulldogs by 4
Recommended Bet
Under 163.5 points ($1.87)
Under 163.5 points ($1.87)
Player Markets
Marcus Bontempelli has hit triple figures in 8 of 10 games this year. He is averaging 103.3 points. In a gritty game he should rack up some numbers.
Marcus Bontempelli has hit triple figures in 8 of 10 games this year. He is averaging 103.3 points. In a gritty game he should rack up some numbers.
Recommended Bet
Marcus Bontempelli 100+ Fantasy Points ($1.52)
Marcus Bontempelli 100+ Fantasy Points ($1.52)
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