Dominic Thiem v Novak DjokovicIf we were going off form The Wolf says you couldn’t have enough on Thiem but the Austrian has a terrible record against Novak. The Serb is a perfect 5-0 against Thiem including a crushing 6-1 6-0 win just weeks ago – all after Thiem had beaten Nadal in straight sets the match before. This is a bad matchup for Thiem from all angles. He has been unable to break down the Djokovic backhand and Novak has developed a winning formula from the baseline against Thiem. Novak trades cross court backhands before dragging Thiem wide to his forehand where he struggles. The Wolf was hoping Thiem would avoid Djokovic in this quarter but the former world number 1 has made it through. Mentally, Thiem has a huge mountain to climb and despite his brilliant lead in results The Wolf says Novak will again get the better of him. Djokovic beat Thiem 6-2 6-1 6-4 in the semi’s here last year and with 4 of their 5 encounters ending in straight sets we are unlikely to see this one go beyond 4 sets.Best: Under 39.5 games ($1.85)

Andy Murray v Kei NishikoriThey are the two men that The Wolf was fading in this quarter but after some roller coaster rides they have managed to make it through. Nishikori needed 5 sets to get past Chung before overcoming a first set bagel against Verdasco in the 4th round to win the next three sets. Murray has improved with every match but has relied on his defence and consistency rather than ball striking. Three of his four opponents have in fact hit more winners than him – namely Kuznetsov, Klizan and Khachanov. The same was also the case through the first two sets against Del Potro. Murray leads the H2H 9-2 with Nishikori winning their most recent meeting at a major – last year’s US Open. They have had some epic battles in the past with their last three best of 5 set matches all going the distance. It makes the Overs a very attractive bet.
Best: Over 36.5 games ($1.85)


Stan Wawrinka v Marin CilicThe Stanimal continues to navigate his way through the draw and comes into this one with a dominant record over his opponent. Stan is 11-2 lifetime against Cilic winning the last 7 meetings and all 5 of their matches on clay. The 2015 French Open champion has won 11 of the 12 sets contested by the pair on this surface which leaves Cilic with a monumental task. The Wolf has pointed out Stan’s clutch play late in sets and it has definitely been the case in the past against the Croat with Wawrinka winning the last 4 breakers they have contested. Stan is also 4-0 in breakers so far in the tournament while Cilic is yet to have one – due to the fact that he has completely dominated his opponents. It can be looked at as slightly concerning as Cilic is yet to be put in any tough positions. Unlike his previous matches it will be Cilic who is doing most of the running.
Best: Wawrinka -3.5 ($1.73)



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