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Gold Coast Titans v New Zealand Warriors

Saturday, June 10, 3pm (AEST), Cbus Super Stadium, Gold Coast

The Titans have a horrible record against the Warriors, while the Warriors are yet to win a match away from Mt Smart Stadium this season. The Titans will welcome back Nathan Peats after he picked up a cork in Origin 1, while Jarryd Hayne will shift to his preferred position of fullback.
The Warriors have won four straight and 12 of their last 13 against Gold Coast. They have also won their last six matches at Cbus Super Stadium. The Warriors won this year’s Round 6 clash in Auckland 28-22, with Kane Elgey scoring a double in a losing side.
Gold Coast have fallen back into bad habits after winning three straight, dropping consecutive games at home to Manly and away to North Queensland. The Titans have conceded at least 24 in six of their last nine and have the second worst defence conceding 26.8 points per game. The Titans are 2-4 at home this year. New Zealand are 12th on the ladder with a 5-8 record. The Warriors have won just 2 of their last 7 and are 0-7 away from Mt Smart this year with all of those losses by six or more. New Zealand have conceded 30-plus in three of their last four.
Key Matchup
Nathan Peats v Issac Luke. Peats made an outstanding Origin debut and will take plenty of confidence back to club level. He missed last week’s loss to the Cowboys and will give the Titans a big boost around the ruck. Meanwhile, Luke produced arguably his best game in a Warriors jersey against the Eels last week, running for 128 metres and was a constant threat from dummy-half.
Stats That Matter

  • Gold Coast are 6-6 ATS with a 9-3 over record while New Zealand are 4-9 ATS with a 7-6 under record.
  • New Zealand have won four straight and 12 of their last 13 against Gold Coast.
  • New Zealand have won their last six at Skilled.
  • The last 10 between these teams have topped 38 points.
  • The Titans are 5-10 ATS as a home  favourite over the last four seasons but have covered their last four at the ground off a loss.
  • Interstate outsiders of less than a try cover at 71% since 2014.
  • The Warriors are 6-13 ATS in day games away from Mt Smart with the over 13-6.
  • The Titans have covered just 1 of their last 4 home day games.
Final Thoughts
It’s extremely hard to trust the Warriors at the best of times, but their strong record against the Titans is impossible to ignore. The Titans have fallen off the pace recently and The Wolf is prepared to take a gamble on Stephen Kearney’s men as outsiders here.
How It’s Shaping Up
New Zealand by 4
Best Bet
New Zealand +2.5 ($1.91)
Other Recommended Bets
Over 42.5 ($1.88)

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