Peru v Paraguay
Thursday June 08, 22:00
Live on Betfair Live Video

The Azzurri didn't make us blue last night, as Italy's 3-0 win over injury-hit Uruguay maintained our perfect start to the week. Bellissimo.

We're changing continents this time, as we take in a friendly between Peru and Paraguay.

Peru will always be a favourite of some sentimental football fans, simply because they have that awesome kit. However, despite the red diagonal slash on the white background winning hearts and minds, it hasn't won many trophies for Los Incas. They haven't won the Copa America since 1975, and haven't reached the World Cup finals since 1982. The country has contributed some great players, such as legendary forward Teofilo Cubillas, defender Hector Chumpitaz (they called him El Capitan de America) and Bundesliga goal machine Claudio Pizarro.

Peru aren't totally out of the race for next year's World Cup in Russia, as they are five points adrift of the top five with four games left. Tonight's opponents Paraguay are locked together with the Peruvians on 18 points, as they look to reach their first World Cup since 2010. Indeed, the failure to make Brazil 2014 was their first such disappointment since they missed out on USA '94.

At present, Paraguay are on a wretched run of form. They have lost eight of their last 11 games including friendlies and the Copa America, but bizarrely they beat Argentina, Chile and Ecuador in the same period. Their biggest issue is a leaky defence - they have conceded 19 goals in their last eight outings, including a 4-1 defeat to Peru in a qualifier last November.

Given Paraguay's brittle defence and the fact these teams shared five goals relatively recently, I fancy goals tonight. Peru have seen seven of their last eight games feature at least three goals, and that's true of six of Paraguay's last nine matches.
Recommended Bet
Back Over 2.5 Goals at 2.02

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