With the FedEx Cup taking a week's break, we only have one main tour event to find three outsider selections. In truth, the European Masters is not the sort of event where I'd normally be looking much beyond the top dozen or so market leaders.
In over 40 years of hosting European Tour events, Crans-sur-Sierre leaderboards have tended to be highly predictable, with shock winners few and far between. Nevertheless, they do happen. For example, David Lipsky in 2014, Richie Ramsay two years earlier, Jean-Francois Lucquin and Brett Rumford in 2008 and 2007. In fact given that they were all fairly recent, perhaps this quirky layout is not quite the favourites' paradise of old.
In over 40 years of hosting European Tour events, Crans-sur-Sierre leaderboards have tended to be highly predictable, with shock winners few and far between. Nevertheless, they do happen. For example, David Lipsky in 2014, Richie Ramsay two years earlier, Jean-Francois Lucquin and Brett Rumford in 2008 and 2007. In fact given that they were all fairly recent, perhaps this quirky layout is not quite the favourites' paradise of old.
Back Renato Paratore 3u @ 120.00
Place order to lay 12u @ 15.00
Place order to lay 20u @ 5.00
Let's start with the player I've tipped in our each-way column. As explained there, the market may be over-reacting to a few, mostly understandable poor results. At stages in his short career, particularly earlier in the season, Paratore has looked a cracking prospect.
He's only played five events since winning his maiden title at the Nordea Masters and followed up on that with a strong sixth in another event of a similar standard to this - the BMW International Open. 12 months ago, he finished seventh here despite starting terribly with 75.
Back Matthieu Pavon 2u @ 290.00
Place order to lay 10u @ 30.00
Place order to lay 15u @ 10.00
Similarly, I'm surprised to see Pavon trading this high just a few starts (one of which was the Open Championship and another a knockout matchplay event) after making a big impression when third in very tough conditions at the Scottish Open.
That was Pavon's third top-six of this rookie season, following on from an excellent Challenge Tour campaign which saw him contend repeatedly. He'd previously won on the Alps Tour so has some form in the region. I can't make a case about his suitability to the course as this is his debut - certainly a negative - but this promising youngster is well worth persevering with at this sort of price.
Back Edoardo Molinari 1u @ 520.00
Place order to lay 10u @ 30.00
Place order to lay 10u @ 10.00
Finally, a wild stab in the dark at enormous odds on a former Ryder Cup star with ten professional wins to his name. Molinari has been completely out of form, but that was also pretty much the case before he won April's Trophee Hassan. Between 2009 and 2014, he made the top-15 in four straight Crans attempts, finishing second in 2010, so perhaps those good memories will spark a revival.
Once a winner, always a winner and, lest we forget, Molinari's win at the 2010 Johnnie Walker to snatch a Ryder Cup spot at the last minute was one of the great closing efforts of all-time. That ability to find an extra gear and rise to the occasion when most needed is the hallmark of a champion. It invariably pays to keep such players onside - even when all seems lost.
As for alternatives, only two really caught the eye. Lee Slattery is trading around 100.00 and has snippets of form here. After throwing away a couple of units on Steve Webster on the back of one back-to-form event last week, I'm slightly deterred by him finishing second last week. However Lee's recent greens in regulation stats suggest more than a fluke.
And I certainly wouldn't deter anyone from following Steve Rawlings in on Alexander Bjork at 140.00. He did this column a favour at the Open de France and, as Steve rightly notes, his ace scrambling skills are a big plus for Crans.
Place order to lay 10u @ 30.00
Place order to lay 10u @ 10.00
Finally, a wild stab in the dark at enormous odds on a former Ryder Cup star with ten professional wins to his name. Molinari has been completely out of form, but that was also pretty much the case before he won April's Trophee Hassan. Between 2009 and 2014, he made the top-15 in four straight Crans attempts, finishing second in 2010, so perhaps those good memories will spark a revival.
Once a winner, always a winner and, lest we forget, Molinari's win at the 2010 Johnnie Walker to snatch a Ryder Cup spot at the last minute was one of the great closing efforts of all-time. That ability to find an extra gear and rise to the occasion when most needed is the hallmark of a champion. It invariably pays to keep such players onside - even when all seems lost.
As for alternatives, only two really caught the eye. Lee Slattery is trading around 100.00 and has snippets of form here. After throwing away a couple of units on Steve Webster on the back of one back-to-form event last week, I'm slightly deterred by him finishing second last week. However Lee's recent greens in regulation stats suggest more than a fluke.
And I certainly wouldn't deter anyone from following Steve Rawlings in on Alexander Bjork at 140.00. He did this column a favour at the Open de France and, as Steve rightly notes, his ace scrambling skills are a big plus for Crans.
0 nhận xét Blogger 0 Facebook
Post a Comment