Homesick Eagles too short to have confidence

Crystal Palace 1.66 v Burnley 6.80; The Draw 4.00
If there was ever a game where you find it difficult to be confident about any team winning then surely this is it. But remarkably one of the teams is trading at just 1.66 to taste victory.
That team is Crystal Palace who let me remind you are level on points with Saturday's opponents Burnley, just one point above the bottom three, and have yet to win a single game on home soil this term. In fact the Eagles have failed to score in five of their six matches at Selhurst Park this season.
In addition Roy Hodgson's men haven't won a league game for going on three months, their star man Wilfried Zaha hasn't scored a goal in his last seven outings, and Palace are the joint-lowest goalscorers in the Premier League.
Sound like 1.66 shots to you? No, me neither.
The reason Palace are such strong favourites of course is because they are playing at home to a Clarets side who themselves are struggling to find any sort of form. Sean Dyche's men have also won just two league games this term, but they did draw at Leicester in their last away match and they have a least won on the road this season. Remember, Palace are yet to win on home soil.
The recent head-to-head results are in Burnley's favour too having won three of the last four meetings against the Eagles including a 2-0 win at Selhurst Park the season before last.
Admittedly Dyche's men are in nowhere near the form they were in last season and therefore it's difficult to be confident about them winning. But by the same token I find it impossible to have any confidence about Crystal Palace winning at such skinny odds given their home form this season. I feel a lay of Hodgson's men should give us a run for our money.

Goals back on the menu at the King Power

Leicester 2.30 v Watford 3.50; The Draw 3.50
It would have been very understandable had Leicester's form dipped slightly following the tragic events of five weeks ago, and although they haven't been in scintillating form the team deserve immense credit for remaining unbeaten in the four games they've played since.
The Foxes won 1-0 at Cardiff before drawing three consecutive games, two in the league and one in the EFL Cup. The midweek draw with Southampton in the cup was followed by a penalty shoot-out victory however, so confidence should be high going into Saturday's clash with Watford.
Leicester only scored two goals in those four games, all of which finished with Under 2.5 Goals paying out, and as such that option is trading at odds-on this weekend while Over 2.5 Goals can be backed at 2.08, which I think is the bet.
Six of Leicester's first seven games of the season finished with at least three goals being scored and it's noticeable that every league game they've played this term against teams above them in the table - Man United, Liverpool, Bournemouth, Everton and Arsenal - has finished with Over 2.5 Goals paying out also. The Foxes both scored and conceded in all those games.
Watford are the next team above Leicester in the table that Claude Puel's men face and goals could well flow at the King Power Stadium on Saturday.
The Hornets have scored twice against top-half sides Man Utd and Tottenham (twice) this season with all three of those games witnessing at least three goals. But this is a Watford side that can blow very hot and cold; score plenty when on form (three against both Burnley and Huddersfield for example) and concede three or four when on an off day, like the 0-4 home defeat to Bournemouth and last week's 0-3 loss to Liverpool.
It's a tricky weekend in the Premier League and finding confident bets is difficult, but I'll be quite surprised if we don't get at least three goals in this match in what should be an open, entertaining affair.

Another four goals at least for Citizens?

Man City 1.13 v Bournemouth 28.00; The Draw 11.50
Bournemouth have improved each season they've been in the Premier League and up until a few weeks ago they were enjoying a tremendous campaign this time around. But Eddie Howe's men have now lost three league games on the spin and it's long odds-on that they'll lose again on Saturday afternoon.
That's because the Cherries travel to the Etihad Stadium to face in-form Manchester City, and judging by recent visits to the home of the league champions they won't be looking forward to it.
Howe's men have lost 4-0, 4-0, and 5-1 in their three previous Premier League games at the Etihad, so being able to back City to win by scoring at least four goals again makes plenty of appeal at around the 2.20 mark.
The Citizens are arguably a better team now than at any time during Bournemouth's last three visits and they go into Saturday's game having scored 22 goals in their last five home matches. That's an average of 4.4 per game!
They won all those games too, as you'd expect. In fact, Pep Guardiola's men have won all seven home league matches this term and they've really clicked into top gear in recent weeks, scoring six against both Southampton and Shakhtar Donetsk (Champions League), five against Burnley, three against rivals Manchester United, and they even scored four at West Ham last Saturday.
It's just impossible to envisage any outcome other than a comfortable home win, and on current form and head-to-head results it's extremely likely that City will score at least four again.
Lay Crystal Palace @ 1.67 v Burnley
Back Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.08 in Leicester v Watford
Back Any Other Home Win @ 2.20 in Man City v Bournemouth (best bet)

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