European Football Tips: Look South West for value this weekend

Germany Bundesliga
FC Koln v SV Werder Bremen
Friday, May 05, 2017

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.42 Draw 3.80 Away 3.00
Betfair Lay Odds - Home 2.48 Draw 3.85 Away 3.10
Fair Value Odds - Home 2.28 Draw 3.80 Away 3.35

FC Koln scores a 8 out of 10 on our value scoring system and are trading near 1.06 % of fair value. Since the Betfair open, the bid has drifted 0.07. Offering now at 0.9 of FV, punters might consider laying SV Werder Bremen. Interesting late season battle for Europe play, take the home side.

Recommendation: Back FC Koln above fair value

Germany 2-Bundesliga
Heidenheim v Hannover
Friday, May 05, 2017

Betfair Back Odds - Home 4.10 Draw 3.65 Away 2.00
Betfair Lay Odds - Home 4.40 Draw 3.95 Away 2.02
Fair Value Odds - Home 3.10 Draw 3.60 Away 2.48

Heidenheim scores a 12 out of 10 on our value scoring system and are trading near 1.31 % of fair value. Since the Betfair open, the bid has drifted 0.5. Offering now at 0.8 of FV, punters might consider laying Hannover. Hannover is just average on the road. Take home side with attractive odds.

Recommendation: Back Heidenheim above fair value

Spain Primera-Division
Sevilla v Real Sociedad
Friday, May 05, 2017

Betfair Back Odds - Home 1.78 Draw 4.10 Away 5.00
Betfair Lay Odds - Home 1.80 Draw 4.20 Away 5.20
Fair Value Odds - Home 1.70 Draw 4.40 Away 5.40

Sevilla scores a 6 out of 10 on our value scoring system and are trading near 1.04 % of fair value. Since the Betfair open, the bid has drifted 0.08. Sevilla has outscored opponents at home 33-15.

Recommendation: Back Sevilla above fair value

Germany 2-Bundesliga
SG Dynamo Dresden v Munich 1860
Friday, May 05, 2017

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.52 Draw 3.45 Away 2.86
Betfair Lay Odds - Home 2.68 Draw 3.70 Away 3.10
Fair Value Odds - Home 2.24 Draw 3.60 Away 3.60

SG Dynamo Dresden scores a 13 out of 10 on our value scoring system and are trading near 1.12 % of fair value. Since the Betfair open, the bid has drifted 0.07. Offering now at 0.79 of FV, punters might consider laying Munich 1860. Dresden, 5th in table, is woefully underrated in this matchup.

Recommendation: Back SG Dynamo Dresden above fair value

Germany Bundesliga
B. Monchengladbach v FC Augsburg
Saturday, May 06, 2017

Betfair Back Odds - Home 1.76 Draw 4.00 Away 4.90
Betfair Lay Odds - Home 1.78 Draw 4.20 Away 5.40
Fair Value Odds - Home 1.51 Draw 4.60 Away [8.5]

B. Monchengladbach scores a 8 out of 10 on our value scoring system and are trading near 1.17 % of fair value. Since the Betfair open, the bid has drifted 0.06. Offering now at 0.6 of FV, punters might consider laying FC Augsburg. Nice home spot for Monchengladbach vs. lowly Augsburg.

Recommendation: Back B. Monchengladbach above fair value

Germany Bundesliga
Ingolstadt v Bayer Leverkusen
Saturday, May 06, 2017

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.56 Draw 3.60 Away 2.80
Betfair Lay Odds - Home 2.64 Draw 3.85 Away 2.90
Fair Value Odds - Home 2.98 Draw 3.70 Away 2.50

Bayer Leverkusen scores a 7 out of 10 on our value scoring system and are trading near 1.11 % of fair value. Since the Betfair open, the bid has drifted 0.25. Offering now at 0.86 of FV, punters might consider laying Ingolstadt. Leverkusen should have little trouble with failing Inglostadt.

Recommendation: Back Bayer Leverkusen above fair value

Italy Serie-A
Juventus v Torino
Saturday, May 06, 2017

Betfair Back Odds - Home 1.55 Draw 4.40 Away 6.40
Betfair Lay Odds - Home 1.58 Draw 5.00 Away 7.40
Fair Value Odds - Home 1.37 Draw 5.80 Away 10.50

Juventus scores a 13 out of 10 on our value scoring system and are trading near 1.13 % of fair value. Since the Betfair open, the bid has drifted 0.05. Offering now at 0.62 of FV, punters might consider laying Torino. Juventus has is undefeated at home outscoring opposition 44-8.

Recommendation: Back Juventus above fair value

Spain Primera-Division
Alaves v Ath Bilbao
Sunday, May 07, 2017

Betfair Back Odds - Home 4.80 Draw 3.60 Away 1.84
Betfair Lay Odds - Home 5.40 Draw 3.90 Away 1.87
Fair Value Odds - Home 4.10 Draw 3.55 Away 2.10

Alaves scores a 11 out of 10 on our value scoring system and are trading near 1.15 % of fair value. Since the Betfair open, the bid has tightened -0.2. Offering now at 0.88 of FV, punters might consider laying Ath Bilbao. Alaves clearly the underdog here deserves a look at home and nearing 5-1.

Recommendation: Back Alaves above fair value

England Championship
Brentford v Blackburn
Sunday, May 07, 2017

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.52 Draw 3.70 Away 2.86
Betfair Lay Odds - Home 2.58 Draw 3.85 Away 2.90
Fair Value Odds - Home 2.28 Draw 3.75 Away 3.40

Brentford scores a 10 out of 10 on our value scoring system and are trading near 1.1 % of fair value. Since the Betfair open, the bid has drifted 0.07. Offering now at 0.85 of FV, punters might consider laying Blackburn. Relegation likely for Rovers.

Recommendation: Back Brentford above fair value

England Championship
Bristol City v Birmingham
Sunday, May 07, 2017

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.60 Draw 3.65 Away 2.74
Betfair Lay Odds - Home 2.68 Draw 3.85 Away 2.80
Fair Value Odds - Home 2.46 Draw 3.65 Away 3.10

Bristol City scores a 9 out of 10 on our value scoring system and are trading near 1.06 % of fair value. Since the Betfair open, the bid has drifted 0.1. Offering now at 0.88 of FV, punters might consider laying Birmingham. Bristol City is +8 on goal difference at home, Birmingham is -14 on the road.

Recommendation: Back Bristol City above fair value

England Championship
Burton v Reading
Sunday, May 07, 2017

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.22 Draw 3.55 Away 3.25
Betfair Lay Odds - Home 2.34 Draw 3.85 Away 3.50
Fair Value Odds - Home 2.90 Draw 3.45 Away 2.70

Reading scores a 8 out of 10 on our value scoring system and are trading near 1.19 % of fair value. Since the Betfair open, the bid has drifted 0.2. Offering now at 0.76 of FV, punters might consider laying Burton. Although their defense has been porous, Reading has had a successful season and needs these points to hold top playoff seed.

Recommendation: Back Reading above fair value

Spain Primera-Division
Dep. La Coruna v Espanyol
Sunday, May 07, 2017

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.10 Draw 3.60 Away 3.90
Betfair Lay Odds - Home 2.12 Draw 3.70 Away 4.10
Fair Value Odds - Home 2.34 Draw 3.45 Away 3.55

Espanyol scores a 7 out of 10 on our value scoring system and are trading near 1.09 % of fair value. Since the Betfair open, the bid has
drifted 0.25. Mid-table Espanyol should easily handle a dispirited Deportiva.

Recommendation: Back Espanyol above fair value

Italy Serie-A
Udinese v Atalanta
Sunday, May 07, 2017

Betfair Back Odds - Home 4.60 Draw 3.75 Away 1.84
Betfair Lay Odds - Home 5.10 Draw 4.00 Away 1.90
Fair Value Odds - Home 3.35 Draw 3.75 Away 2.30