Sydney v Brisbane
Sunday 1:10pm at SCG

Sydney and Brisbane have just one win between them through six rounds and could be battling it out for the wooden spoon in this one.
Sydney have remarkably started the season 0-6 without a single cover in what has been an astonishing start to the year. They come into this off a loss to Carlton when heavily favoured in Melbourne. The Swans rank 16th in scoring and 13th in defence, with Sydney not surpassing 87 points all year.
Brisbane stunned Gold Coast in their first game of the year but have since dropped five straight, all by margins of 27 or greater. The Lions have conceded at least 107 points in five straight games and at least 122 in their last two. Brisbane rank 14th in attack and 17th in defence and have won just 8 of their last 50 games.
Stats That Matter
– Sydney have won nine straight against Brisbane with the Lions winning just 2 of the last 20 clashes with the Swans.
– Eight of the last nine Sydney wins have come by margins of 20 or more.
– The Lions have covered the last two against the Swans.
– Four of the last five Swans-Lions matches have gone under the total.
– The Swans have covered 9 of their last 14 at the SCG.
– Sydney have won 14 of 15 when favoured by more than 30 points at the SCG with a 9-6 ATS record.
– The under is 12-5 when the Swans play at the SCG off a loss.
– Brisbane have covered just 5 of their last 18 interstate games but have covered both this year.
– The Lions are 12-23 ATS as an interstate outsider of more than five goals.
– Interstate outsiders who conceded 120 or more the last start are 29-46 ATS.
Betting Data
2017 Line: Sydney 0-6, Brisbane 3-3
2017 Over-Under: Sydney 3-3, Brisbane 3-3
What To Expect
It takes a game punter to lay over five goals on a team that hasn’t won or covered in six games but this shapes as a breakout game for the Swans against a hapless Brisbane team that are not offering a lot with just eight wins in their last 50. The Lions are poor as a big interstate outsider and interstate outsiders off poor defensive displays have a horrid record.
How It’s Shaping Up
Sydney by 46
Recommended Bet
Sydney -44.5 ($1.91)
Player Markets
The big Bud booted five in his last game against the Lions and in need of a breakout performance, could hammer a bag here against the Lions. A huge haul would not shock here.
Recommended Bet
Lance Franklin 5+ Goals ($2.55) 

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