Saturday 7:25pm at Etihad Stadium
Western Bulldogs and Richmond both endured difficult Round 6 defeats and will be feverishly hoping to put those painful losses aside when they meet in a cracking Round 7 affair.
Form
Western Bulldogs remain in the Top 8 despite their close loss to GWS last Friday in Canberra with a 4-2 record. The defending premiers have not conceded more than 90 points all season with their defence being ranked fourth but their attack has been concerning, ranking just 10th, scoring just 94 points per game. The Bulldogs are 4-0 in Melbourne this year.
Western Bulldogs remain in the Top 8 despite their close loss to GWS last Friday in Canberra with a 4-2 record. The defending premiers have not conceded more than 90 points all season with their defence being ranked fourth but their attack has been concerning, ranking just 10th, scoring just 94 points per game. The Bulldogs are 4-0 in Melbourne this year.
Richmond started the season in incredible form with five straight wins and covers but came crashing back to earth in Adelaide on Sunday with a 76-point loss, their second largest defeat in six years. The Tigers’ defence ranking fell to fifth while their attack is rated 10th. Their 5-1 record has them in fourth. Richmond had not conceded more than 89 points in their first five games before conceding 140 points to the Crows.
Stats That Matter
– Richmond have won just 3 of their last 15 games against the Bulldogs dating back to 2005.
– Since 2012, Richmond have covered 4 of the 6 matches with the Bulldogs.
– Three of the last four matches have gone under the total.
– The Bulldogs have covered just 2 of their last 9 at Etihad.
– The Bulldogs are 7-14 ATS when favoured by more than 15 at Etihad since 2012.
– The under is 13-8 when the Bulldogs are favoured by more than 15 at Etihad.
– Richmond have covered just 1 of their last 4 at Etihad over the last three seasons.
– The Bulldogs have covered 12 of their last 34 when favoured by more than 15 points.
– The under is 21-13 when the Bulldogs are favoured by more than 15.
– Richmond have covered 17 of their last 31 when an outsider of 15 or more.
– The Tigers are 12-5 ATS as a non-interstate outsider of more than 15 and 19-10 ATS as a non-interstate outsider.
– Since 2012, Richmond have covered 4 of the 6 matches with the Bulldogs.
– Three of the last four matches have gone under the total.
– The Bulldogs have covered just 2 of their last 9 at Etihad.
– The Bulldogs are 7-14 ATS when favoured by more than 15 at Etihad since 2012.
– The under is 13-8 when the Bulldogs are favoured by more than 15 at Etihad.
– Richmond have covered just 1 of their last 4 at Etihad over the last three seasons.
– The Bulldogs have covered 12 of their last 34 when favoured by more than 15 points.
– The under is 21-13 when the Bulldogs are favoured by more than 15.
– Richmond have covered 17 of their last 31 when an outsider of 15 or more.
– The Tigers are 12-5 ATS as a non-interstate outsider of more than 15 and 19-10 ATS as a non-interstate outsider.
Betting Data
2017 Line: Western Bulldogs 2-4, Richmond 5-1
2017 Over-Under: Western Bulldogs 3-3, Richmond 3-3
2017 Line: Western Bulldogs 2-4, Richmond 5-1
2017 Over-Under: Western Bulldogs 3-3, Richmond 3-3
What To Expect
The Bulldogs have hardly looked world-beaters this year as a combination of injury and the year after syndrome have taken hold. The Tigers have been gritty for a lot of the year and can upset the Bulldogs here. Richmond are excellent as an underdog in Melbourne while the Bulldogs are extremely unconvincing as a big favourite.
The Bulldogs have hardly looked world-beaters this year as a combination of injury and the year after syndrome have taken hold. The Tigers have been gritty for a lot of the year and can upset the Bulldogs here. Richmond are excellent as an underdog in Melbourne while the Bulldogs are extremely unconvincing as a big favourite.
How It’s Shaping Up
Richmond by 6
Richmond by 6
Recommended Bet
Richmond +18.5 ($1.91)
Richmond +18.5 ($1.91)
Player Markets
Trent Cotchin has had at least 28 disposals in his last three against the Bulldogs and though he has been quiet this year he has had one 34-touch game.
Recommended BetTrent Cotchin has had at least 28 disposals in his last three against the Bulldogs and though he has been quiet this year he has had one 34-touch game.
Trent Cotchin 30+ Disposals ($2.50)
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