Serie A Betting: Expect an end of season blowout

Napoli v Cagliari
Saturday, 17:00

No prizes for originality as we look towards a Saturday night in Naples for the first tip of the weekend. I feel that there's every chance of goals in the Turin derby in the evening, but it's almost impossible to see how Napoli and Cagliari won't produce goals in the earlier game.

The fire is back in Neapolitan bellies after Roma's defeat by Lazio let them back into the race for second place, and they'll be out to destroy Cagliari before they head for Torino next week.

Massimo Rastelli has done a good stabilising job in Sardinia, and his team have won two of their last three. 
They've scored in their last five too, and I think that they'll get on the scoresheet against a Napoli defence that were switched on at Inter last week (they proved me wrong, and deserve real praise for that), but tend to lose concentration against the lesser lights of the division, especially with Kalidou Koulibaly suspended.

Napoli are the top scorers in the division, and any fire is likely to be met with fire on what will be a pumped up night at the San Paolo. That's important, as Napoli can struggle early and eke out a low-scoring win when the crowd is quiet, but tend to dazzle when there's noise and passion. And there will be, given the time of day and what's at stake.

Rather than fumble around and back Over 3.5 Goals at 1.63, I'm going to take the chance that this game could produce a few more goals than that, as we head for the end of the season searching for profit and a larger than normal payday.

They've got previous form, as the last eight meetings between these sides, home and away, provided a total 34 goals.

Recommended Bet: Back Over 5.5 Goals in Napoli v Cagliari @ 3.90

Milan v Roma
Sunday, 19:45
Live on BT Sport 3

Roma blew it in the derby last week, but I expect them to get back on track with victory over Milan. The Rossoneri have lost all of their sparkle in recent weeks, and aside from a spirited display to come back from the dead in the derby, they look like they're meandering to the end of the season.

There's a fair bit of concern around San Siro about the takeover of the club, and it seems to have led to uncertainty on the pitch, in the stands, in the soul of AC Milan.

What was most surprising about their loss in their last home game against Empoli was that they deserved to lose, and the same was true in Crotone last week, when a scruffy equaliser conjured up a point. They look short on ideas, on personnel, and I expect Roma to do a job on them and win clinically.

Since a shock defeat at Sampdoria at the end of January, Roma have now won five straight away games. Their style is suited to playing away, and I expect Milan to oblige this weekend and be carved open, rather like Inter were here in late February.

Recommended Bet: Back Roma to beat Milan @ 2.18

Sassuolo v Fiorentina
Sunday, 14:00

Sassuolo have won two of their last three games and gave Napoli a real scare at the Mapei in their last home match. They're playing well enough to beat Fiorentina this weekend, after La Viola were humiliated in Palermo.

After beating Inter, Fiorentina once again showed their inconsistency, and they look to me to be already focused on next season when a new Coach will hope to breathe life back into the men in purple.

After scaling the heights last season, this campaign was always going to be a comedown for Sassuolo, but I think that they'll come again next term and, as a prelude to that, may just finish this season on a high.

Recommended Bet: Back Sassuolo to beat Fiorentina @ 3.20