Friday 7:50pm at Etihad Stadium
After a dominating win over Hawthorn in Tasmania, St Kilda have GWS in their sights next but the Giants will be no push over after driving into the Top 4 last round.
FormSt Kilda just annihilated a hapless Hawthorn in Tasmania in a 75-point demolition job. The Saints have now won three of their last four with their only loss coming against a Geelong side who have been defeated just once this year. The Saints scored of 130 was just the fourth time they had posted such a score in the last four years.
Greater Western Sydney have put together five straight victories including back-to-back wins over last year’s Grand Finalists Sydney the Western Bulldogs. The Giants have not conceded more than 81 points in those five straight wins while their attack remains in the Top 4 despite being held to just 75 points by the Bulldogs.
Stats That Matter
– The Giants have won three straight against St Kilda, covering the last two.
– Three of the last four Saints-Giants games have gone under the total.
– The teams have played four times at Etihad with each winning twice though the Saints are 3-1 ATS at the ground.
– The Giants have covered just 2 of their last 7 at Etihad Stadium.
– St Kilda have covered 9 of their last 15 at Etihad Stadium.
– The Saints have covered 6 of their last 8 as an outsider at Etihad Stadium.
– The under is 20-14 at Etihad Stadium when the Saints are an outsider of greater than two goals.
– The Giants are 2-6 ATS all-time as a favourite at Etihad.
– The under has hit in 14 of the last 23 when the Giants were an interstate favourite.
– The Giants are 11-2 with a 7-6 ATS record when an interstate favourite of more than two goals.
– The under hits at 62% when an interstate favourite comes off a single digit win.
– Non-interstate outsiders off a win of 40-plus cover at 60%.
– Three of the last four Saints-Giants games have gone under the total.
– The teams have played four times at Etihad with each winning twice though the Saints are 3-1 ATS at the ground.
– The Giants have covered just 2 of their last 7 at Etihad Stadium.
– St Kilda have covered 9 of their last 15 at Etihad Stadium.
– The Saints have covered 6 of their last 8 as an outsider at Etihad Stadium.
– The under is 20-14 at Etihad Stadium when the Saints are an outsider of greater than two goals.
– The Giants are 2-6 ATS all-time as a favourite at Etihad.
– The under has hit in 14 of the last 23 when the Giants were an interstate favourite.
– The Giants are 11-2 with a 7-6 ATS record when an interstate favourite of more than two goals.
– The under hits at 62% when an interstate favourite comes off a single digit win.
– Non-interstate outsiders off a win of 40-plus cover at 60%.
Betting Data2017 Line: St Kilda 3-3, GWS 4-2
2017 Over-Under: St Kilda 3-3, GWS 3-3
2017 Over-Under: St Kilda 3-3, GWS 3-3
What To ExpectThis game should a hard-fought, tight tussle between two teams playing pretty good football. The Giants don’t play particularly well at Etihad and it probably is the Saints’ best-performing ground. Home underdogs off wins of 40-plus cover at over 60% and the Saints are reliable as an underdog at Etihad.
How It’s Shaping UpGWS by 3
Recommended Bet
St Kilda +14.5 ($1.91)
St Kilda +14.5 ($1.91)
Player MarketsSeb Ross can’t get enough of the ball lately with three straight games of 32 disposals or more. Last season against GWS he collected 29 touches. Ross holds his form and should have few issues posting another 30-disposal game.
Recommended Bet
Seb Ross 30+ Disposals ($2.00)
Seb Ross 30+ Disposals ($2.00)
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