Chelsea v Swansea
Wednesday 29th November 2017, 19:45

Chelsea hope to turn on the style
Chelsea manager Antonio Conte was pleased with a point as the Blues left Liverpool on Saturday evening following a hectic run of three away fixture in eight days. The Italian set his side up with eight defensive-minded players- five defenders along with three holding midfielders in a bid to earn a share of the spoils.

Now back at Stamford Bridge, Chelsea will be expected to turn on the style. However, the capital club have collected only 10 points from a possible 18 in Premier League games as hosts thus far and Conte is aware his side must make their base a fortress if they're to stand any chance of retaining their title.

The home side are expected to shuffle their pack for Wednesday night with Willian, Pedro, Cesc Fabregas and David Luiz all pushing for starting berths and Victor Moses back from injury. Top scorer Alvaro Morata may be rested.

Swansea struggling for goals
Swansea snapped a four-game losing streak on Saturday but were only able to hold Bournemouth to a 0-0 draw at the Liberty Stadium, the third consecutive game in which the Welsh outfit have failed to score.

Paul Clement's charges have now picked up the same number of points (9) after 13 games as they did last season having scored (7) nine goals fewer. Indeed, only four clubs have scored fewer goals at this stage of a season in Premier League history.

Those goalscoring woes won't be helped on Wednesday with Tammy Abraham unavailable due to the terms of his loan. The Swans striker has scored more goals (4), had more shots (22) and more shots on-target (8) than any of his club mates. Meanwhile, centre-half Federico Fernandez is absent and Swansea have conceded on average 2.42 goals per-game in the last 12 matches he's missed.

Blues can silence the Swans
Chelsea 1.21 have W7-D4-L1 in their last 12 Premier League games against Swansea19.50 and returned W5-D1-L0 in Stamford Bridge battles during the same sample. The Blues have scored at least twice in five of those six showdowns in the capital.

The hosts have racked up W4-D1-L0 in their last five league outings whilst leaking a solitary strike across their most recent four fixtures - that coming against Liverpool at Anfield.

Wilfried Bony took the Swansea captaincy on Saturday and put in a positive performance but question marks remain over his conditioning and with Abraham missing, it's hard to see the visitors scoring considering they're averaging fewer than two attempts on-target this term.

With that in mind, the 5/6 available on Betfair Sportsbook for Chelsea to win 'to nil' holds plenty of appeal. Thirteen of the Blues' 22 triumphs against bottom-half sides under Conte have arrived alongside a clean sheet whilst the Swans have fired blanks in eight of their 13 matches in 2017/18.

Chelsea may be made to wait
A healthy 18/26 (68%) of Chelsea's encounters with the Premier League's lesser lights have delivered winning Over 2.5 Goals 1.61 selections but with Swansea returning Under 2.5 Goals 2.52 profit in 10 of their past 11 away trips, opposing goals would be the preferred option on first glance.

However, dig deeper and seven of the visitors' nine meetings with Big Six clubs under Clement's watch have each featured at least three goals with an average of 3.22 goals per-game in total. Such varied stats mean I'm happy to swerve the goals market and instead look elsewhere.

Swansea are unlikely to adopt an adventurous approach in West London and it's intriguing to note that they've only trailed at half-time in four of those nine clashes with top-six sides, all by a 1-0 scoreline. Given Chelsea have only led at the interval once in their last seven, drawing at the break in five, backing the Draw/Chelsea at 4.50 may be worth a small interest.

Recommended Bets
Back Chelsea to win to nil @ 5/6 in Chelsea v Swansea
Back Draw/Chelsea @ 4.50 in Chelsea v Swansea


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