Friday 8:10pm at Domain Stadium
A Top 4 position is on the line when 5-2 teams West Coast and the Western Bulldogs meet in Perth in a cracking opener to Round 8 AFL action.
Form
West Coast have moved up to fourth place after a dramatic 97-87 win over Port Adelaide in Adelaide. The Eagles have now won their last two. Their defence, for the most part, has been key, allowing more than 87 points just once in their last five games. Defensively the Eagles rank sixth this year. West Coast ranks eighth in attack and have topped 97 just once in their last five.
West Coast have moved up to fourth place after a dramatic 97-87 win over Port Adelaide in Adelaide. The Eagles have now won their last two. Their defence, for the most part, has been key, allowing more than 87 points just once in their last five games. Defensively the Eagles rank sixth this year. West Coast ranks eighth in attack and have topped 97 just once in their last five.
The Western Bulldogs are fifth on the ladder and enter this with three wins in their last four matches including a come-from-behind win over Richmond last Saturday. The Bulldogs have been relentless defensively this year, not allowing more than 90 points in any game, ranking second in the AFL. They have scored more than 90 just once in their last five and rank 11th in attack.
Stats That Matter
– The Western Bulldogs have won the last two and 4 of the last 6 against West Coast.
– Three of the last four have failed to top 184 points.
– West Coast have covered 13 of their last 18 at Domain Stadium.
– The Eagles have covered 5 of their last 6 at Domain Stadium when favoured by fewer than three goals.
– The under is 7-4 when the Eagles are favoured at home by fewer than two goals.
– The Bulldogs are 21-13 under interstate since 2012.
– The Bulldogs have covered 6 of their last 8 interstate.
– The Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS as an interstate outsider of fewer than three goals since 2012.
– Small interstate outsiders of conceding fewer than 80 points are 34-54 ATS since 2012.
– West Coast are 21-9 under at night since 2012.
– The Western Bulldogs are 24-14 under at night since 2012.
– Three of the last four have failed to top 184 points.
– West Coast have covered 13 of their last 18 at Domain Stadium.
– The Eagles have covered 5 of their last 6 at Domain Stadium when favoured by fewer than three goals.
– The under is 7-4 when the Eagles are favoured at home by fewer than two goals.
– The Bulldogs are 21-13 under interstate since 2012.
– The Bulldogs have covered 6 of their last 8 interstate.
– The Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS as an interstate outsider of fewer than three goals since 2012.
– Small interstate outsiders of conceding fewer than 80 points are 34-54 ATS since 2012.
– West Coast are 21-9 under at night since 2012.
– The Western Bulldogs are 24-14 under at night since 2012.
Betting Data
2017 Line: West Coast 4-3, Western Bulldogs 2-5
2017 Over-Under: West Coast 3-4, Western Bulldogs 3-4
2017 Line: West Coast 4-3, Western Bulldogs 2-5
2017 Over-Under: West Coast 3-4, Western Bulldogs 3-4
What To ExpectThis game should be tight, tough and terrific, a brilliant opener to Round 8. The under is definitely the play here. Both teams are big under teams at night while three of the last four games have been low-scoring affairs between the sides. The under is big when West Coast are a small home underdog. In handicap betting West Coast are the play as a small minus having covered 5 of their last 6 at home when a favourites of 18 or less. Small interstate outsiders coming off strong defensive performances are 34-54 against the line since 2012.
How It’s Shaping Up
West Coast by 16
West Coast by 16
Recommended Bet
Under 173.5 ($1.87)
Under 173.5 ($1.87)
Player Markets
Elliot Yeo has been in scintillating form of late and it has reflected in his fantasy numbers with four scores of 116-plus this season and hauls of 152 and 124 the last two weeks. Despite being well held by the Bulldogs in two games last year, Yeo should play a prominent role in this one.
Recommended BetElliot Yeo has been in scintillating form of late and it has reflected in his fantasy numbers with four scores of 116-plus this season and hauls of 152 and 124 the last two weeks. Despite being well held by the Bulldogs in two games last year, Yeo should play a prominent role in this one.
Elliot Yeo 110+ Fantasy Points ($1.80)
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