RB Leipzig v Bayern Munich
Saturday May 13, 14:30

It's a great shame that there isn't more riding on this tussle between the top two. Bundesliga debutants RB Leipzig pushed the champions harder than anyone else this term, but the title race was ended two weeks ago by Bayern's 6-0 win at Wolfsburg.

Leipzig and their excellent coach Ralph Hasenhuttl deserve immense credit for the football they have produced this season. They have played a high-intensity, high-speed style which has delivered thrilling results. RBL have scored 60 goals (only Bayern and Borussia Dortmund have netted more often in the league, and they have conceded just 32 goals, a record only bettered by Bayern.

Bayern celebrated a fifth consecutive Bundesliga title in a rather muted way. Other tournaments have proved to be a source of disappointment in Carlo Ancelotti's first campaign at the helm. The Champions League bid ended in acrimony, as Bayern felt they had been denied a place in the semi-finals by poor refereeing, rather than the excellence of Real Madrid. Just as painful was the DFB Cup semi-final exit to Dortmund, as it came in Munich, and was a game that FCB seemed in total control of at 2-1 up.

Bayern won the reverse fixture 3-0 in one of their best displays of the season, but they'll find a trip to the Red Bull Arena a different proposition. Leipzig have only lost twice at home all season, they go into this game with a seven-match unbeaten run behind them, and they did superbly to win 4-1 at Hertha Berlin last Saturday.

Bayern looked a bit listless last weekend as they beat Darmstadt 1-0 (the visitors missed a late penalty), and they are without keepers Manuel Neuer and Sven Ulreich. Javi Martinez damaged his collarbone on a hiking trip, and Jerome Boateng is believed to have been unsettled by being left out of the team for the the recent cup game against Dortmund.

Bayern seem too short to me at 1.93, and I'm happy to lay them at that price against a motivated and in-form Leipzig.

Recommended Bet
Lay Bayern Munich at 1.93

Werder Bremen v Hoffenheim
Saturday May 13, 14:30

Hoffenheim have exceeded everybody's expectations by qualifying for the Champions League, but last weekend's 2-1 defeat at Borussia Dortmund put them back into fourth spot, and on course for a potentially tricky UCL playoff at the start of next season. As well as Julian Nagelsmann's side have done this season, they have been struggling on the road. They have only picked up one win in their last eight away matches in the league, and all four of their league defeats this term have come away from home.

Werder saw their extraordinary 11-match unbeaten run ended in spectacular fashion last Friday, as they went down 4-3 at Koln, but they actually played pretty well. SVW have taken 29 points from the last 36 available, and they have won their last five Bundesliga games at the Weserstadion. With Max Kruse, Fin Bartels and Serge Gnabry all on form, it should be a tough afternoon for the Hoffenheim defence.

I've been really impressed with both sides in 2017, but based on their recent home form, I'm giving Werder the edge here.

Recommended Bet
Back Werder Bremen Draw No Bet at 2.02

Freiburg v Ingolstadt
Saturday May 13, 14:30

Ingolstadt's hopes of avoiding the drop probably disappeared last weekend, as they failed to hold onto a lead against struggling Bayer Leverkusen for more than five minutes. The 1-1 draw at the Audi Sportpark summed up Ingolstadt - they'll never lack for effort and discipline, but they don't create enough chances or score enough goals.

They probably need to win both of their remaining matches to escape the bottom two, but they have lost five of their last eight away games, and they are visiting a Freiburg side that is remarkably in the top five with two games to go. Freiburg came up as Bundesliga 2 champions, and their work this season has been superb. Charismatic coach Christian Streich has squeezed every drop of potential out of his players, and if they win on Saturday, they'll equal a club record of 11 home victories in one Bundesliga season.

Freiburg were superb against Schalke last Sunday, and thoroughly deserved their 2-0 win. If they play anywhere near that level, then I think they'll beat an Ingolstadt team that has reached the end of the Bundesliga road.

Recommended Bet
Back Freiburg to win at 2.46

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