NRL Preview
Wests Tigers v South Sydney Rabbitohs

Friday, May 12, 7:50pm (AEST), ANZ Stadium, Sydney

The Tigers and Rabbitohs meet again for the second time this year and former Tiger Robbie Farah will be hoping for a different outcome this time around after the Tigers won the Round 1 clash by 16 points. The Tigers have lost both Aaron Woods and Jamal Idris for the clash. The Rabbitohs have been terrible of late, but their Round 1 performance against the Tigers, and the hammering at the hands of the Sea Eagles in Round 9, could spur them on to victory here.
The Tigers have won four straight against the Rabbitohs, posting 30-plus in each of them, including a 34-18 win in Round 1. Bryson Goodwin scored a hat-trick in a losing side in the Round 1 clash.
The Tigers have won just three games this season but have pulled off some immense victories with recent wins in Townsville and against Canterbury under the stewardship of Ivan Cleary. The Tigers have conceded fewer than 18 points just twice this year. The Tigers have scored 16-plus points in four straight games after being held to 28 points combined in their four games previous. South Sydney seem to be in free-fall with just one win in their last six games. They have conceded at least 18 in every game this year and at least 24 in their last three. They have been kept to single figures in four of their last six.
Key Matchup
Luke Brooks v Adam Reynolds. Brooks was one of the Tigers’ best in a beaten side against the Sharks in Round 9 and looked to finally take ownership of the team. The potential has always been there, but he needs to start delivering on a consistent basis if the Tigers are to compete with the heavyweights of the NRL. It’s been a frustrating season for Reynolds, with injuries robbing him of any consistency. If he has any aspirations of a sky blue jersey, he needs a match-winning performance here.
Stats That Matter
Wests Tigers are 4-5 ATS with a 6-3 under record while South Sydney are 4-5 ATS with a 5-4 over number. The Tigers have won four straight against the Rabbitohs, posting 30-plus in each of them, including a 34-18 win in Round 1. Eight of the last nine matches have topped 40 points. The Tigers have covered 15 of 26 at ANZ since 2014 while Souths are just 15-24 ATS at the ground over the same time. Souths have covered just 5 of their last 14 as a favourite at ANZ with the under 11-4 in those matches. The Tigers have covered 11 of 15 night matches at ANZ with the over 10-5.
Final Thoughts
The Wolf found this a tricky game to line up, but has settled on the Rabbitohs, despite their poor run of form. The Tigers will struggle to make metres with Woods out, while the Rabbitohs will have a point to prove after their poor effort in Round 9 against the Sea Eagles. Adam Reynolds will lift and prove the difference here. The safer play is the overs with defence not a strong suit of either side.
How It’s Shaping Up
South Sydney by 2
Best Bet
Over 42.5 ($1.88)

Other Recommended Bets
South Sydney 1-12 ($3.10)

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